Movies · resolved market
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross less than $20m opening weekend?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8279c6f272e91c531774740fcca2fae9a09767c8052c1edeb22229cf2d58c037
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $314,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $309,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $314,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb0…d6b0backed Yes | 35c | 54,055$18,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,919.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf773…4a03backed No | 65c | 53,884$35,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,859.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…bc0bbacked Yes | 66c | 34,107$22,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,510.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032f…4679backed No | 34c | 34,107$11,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,510.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 72c | 11,178$8,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,038.39 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 69c | 9,196$6,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,351.57 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 27c | 8,049$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,899.23 | 187 | 19.3%36 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed Yes | 75c | 7,750$5,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,839.56 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed Yes | 60c | 5,907$3,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,552.09 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 44c | 5,224$2,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.49 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…a1f0backed Yes | 8c | 4,193$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…b17ebacked Yes | 51c | 3,680$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.24 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed No | 24c | 2,600$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978 | 166 | 24.1%40 W · 126 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ca…c807backed No | 20c | 2,405$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 14c | 2,265$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.3 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.37 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8085…ea17backed No | 29c | 1,933$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.28 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 47c | 1,904$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.51 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 43c | 1,750$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.8 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 21c | 1,598$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.27 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3b…63b9backed No | 14c | 1,251$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.75 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 29c | 1,183$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.89 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…c91ebacked No | 57c | 1,170$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7de…b802backed No | 29c | 1,152$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.98 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057d…6eddbacked No | 27c | 1,136$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.56 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 14c | 1,088$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.12 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 35c | 998.19$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.63 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff3c…f8edbacked No | 10c | 866.2$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +908.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…d1a3backed Yes | 19c | 846.36$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…7cd2backed No | 38c | 739.43$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed No | 24c | 711.84$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.33 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…f56cbacked No | 38c | 710$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.45 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 44c | 696.88$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.88 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…8b76backed No | 39c | 654.42$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.57 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 60c | 565.77$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.01 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…aa7dbacked No | 57c | 528.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.35 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 76c | 520$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4c…33e9backed No | 22c | 509.27$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.27 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…3c45backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…ebe8backed No | 4c | 429.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.53 | 72 | 6.9%5 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…56b0backed No | 38c | 412.82$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…71b1backed No | 35c | 400$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.5 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 63c | 396.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 32c | 387.95$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.59 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 72c | 375.91$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.63 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed No | 64c | 375$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 36c | 361.62$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.84 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 12c | 320.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…00e6backed Yes | 57c | 309.23$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.15 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…6e0bbacked No | 22c | 300$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Yes | 77c | 297.06$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.69 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2880…fa70backed No | 31c | 295.59$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.66 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 24c | 290.01$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.01 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 33c | 282.65$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.55 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…c22bbacked No | 22c | 271.63$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.19 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 8c | 266$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.44 | 142 | 12%17 W · 125 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc979…4a98backed No | 33c | 249$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 30cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed Yes | 17c | 242$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c1…974cbacked Yes | 9c | 236.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +124.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…01abbacked No | 40c | 227.97$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.38 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe567…e4debacked No | 35c | 226.31$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.31 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…9917backed Yes | 46c | 218.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc654…f0debacked No | 67c | 211.5$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d9…55b8backed Yes | 6c | 209$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011e…c658backed No | 29c | 204.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…ee61backed Yes | 8c | 202.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c4…6582backed No | 10c | 201.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.65 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6835backed Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…71aebacked No | 41c | 194.14$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.11 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed Yes | 69c | 188.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.13 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd240…562cbacked Yes | 38c | 187.82$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 36c | 176.82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.02 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…2bbabacked No | 63c | 158.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…8f60backed No | 25c | 149.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +273.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb270…ed57backed No | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 60c | 146.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…6cfebacked Yes | 8c | 141$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 24c | 140.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 65c | 132.54$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575e…5b86backed No | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 14cpaid | +184.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd74d…85e9backed No | 73c | 126.62$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 78c | 122.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…4c9cbacked Yes | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 57 | 10.5%6 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58bb…1bd7backed No | 57c | 114$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a3…5adabacked No | 36c | 113$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.86 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 26c | 108.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.75 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 63c | 104.69$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f7…0331backed No | 20c | 101.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c6…0997backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 4cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b9…f055backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f8…2903backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa378…1927backed No | 21c | 91.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…55bfbacked No | 33c | 82.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab24…8c8ebacked Yes | 78c | 81$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…818bbacked No | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca98…7540backed No | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross less than $20m opening weekend?this page
- Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross $20m or more but less than $23m opening weekend?Yes won
- Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross $23m or more but less than $26m opening weekend?No won
- Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross $26m or more but less than $29m opening weekend?No won
- Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross $29m or more but less than $32m opening weekend?No won
- Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross $32m or more opening weekend?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.