Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x466438234ec528c66a2e50bc2c39dc429a67e9808415c5b3351cadf7b5d2a183
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $344,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $322,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $344,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4344…caefbacked Yes | 38c | 33,827$12,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,686.67 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked Yes | 26c | 33,050$8,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,680.36 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 11c | 20,862$2,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.65 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed No | 48c | 14,998$7,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,798.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd6…3b62backed Yes | 62c | 12,674$7,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,857.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed No | 46c | 9,801$4,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,315.26 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…29a4backed Yes | 29c | 5,197$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x512b…a346backed Yes | 67c | 4,644$3,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,132.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 16c | 4,492$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.6 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed Yes | 61c | 4,100$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Yes | 5c | 3,704$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.12 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked No | 69c | 3,667$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.81 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked Yes | 6c | 3,356$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.38 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 3c | 3,305$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 38c | 3,193$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.37 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 65c | 3,095$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.49 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Yes | 29c | 2,800$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,570$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.71 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…9729backed Yes | 33c | 2,539$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 65c | 2,403$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.9 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92ea…a48dbacked Yes | 35c | 2,310$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…50b7backed Yes | 36c | 2,261$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.76 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 59c | 2,258$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.89 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -86%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 58c | 2,111$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.05 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 29c | 2,012$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.6 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…4322backed Yes | 55c | 1,927$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…498abacked Yes | 41c | 1,920$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.49 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd452…03e0backed No | 74c | 1,889$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Yes | 61c | 1,810$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.3 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 48c | 1,656$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,499$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,423$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 4c | 1,394$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed No | 71c | 1,364$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.42 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 3c | 1,356$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 17c | 1,300$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…c20ebacked Yes | 63c | 1,277$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.11 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 33c | 1,214$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.34 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 44c | 1,147$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.85 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…b339backed Yes | 25c | 1,057$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.07 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…f61fbacked No | 73c | 999.98$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 994.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 937.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 77c | 934.74$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.65 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f6…8a22backed Yes | 11c | 878.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…720abacked Yes | 25c | 830.69$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked No | 77c | 745$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.85 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked No | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae79…0735backed No | 61c | 650$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…6a22backed Yes | 64c | 616$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed No | 62c | 601$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d1…402fbacked Yes | 7c | 578.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 28c | 560.64$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 17cpaid | +120.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaba9…a356backed Yes | 53c | 553.87$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 550.82$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.73 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c48…0d1abacked No | 39c | 515.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +157.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57d…12b5backed Yes | 29c | 514.06$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 4c | 513.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 36c | 489.98$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.59 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 27c | 477.57$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.92 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed No | 57c | 469.72$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.98 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked No | 58c | 466.17$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked Yes | 17c | 465.51$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.14 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed No | 70c | 450.61$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.61 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd5…0350backed Yes | 49c | 410.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 24c | 403.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.96 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1577…8949backed Yes | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b9…fb44backed Yes | 22c | 379.28$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 36c | 375$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.1 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked Yes | 4c | 342.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 62c | 332.98$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.53 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 39c | 329.12$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.64 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x561a…c65bbacked Yes | 47c | 320.51$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e9…62c3backed Yes | 14c | 318.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4424…88a8backed Yes | 32c | 314.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda4…4e14backed Yes | 3c | 306$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ed…add7backed Yes | 4c | 302.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c15…fe02backed No | 66c | 299.08$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 60c | 294.44$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.59 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cb…f58ebacked Yes | 6c | 287.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bc…33c6backed Yes | 60c | 278.31$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed Yes | 33c | 276.2$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 23c | 275.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…aa35backed No | 73c | 264$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1505…ec9cbacked No | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked No | 56c | 255.48$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Yes | 20c | 253.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77ff…f21bbacked Yes | 59c | 249.8$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 28c | 245$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c2…e35dbacked Yes | 6c | 234$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0016…77b1backed Yes | 6c | 223$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ee…d474backed Yes | 63c | 222.13$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 35c | 214.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…421abacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed Yes | 23c | 212.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes | 22c | 204.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL?this page
- Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of EPL?No won
- Will Brighton finish in the top 4 of EPL?No won
- Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL?Yes won
- Will Fulham finish in the top 4 of EPL?No won
- Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL?Yes won
- Will Newcastle United finish in the top 4 of EPL?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.