Premier League · resolved market
Will Brighton finish in the top 4 of EPL?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf43d62744d635bd5c5172c08b7affd6930096107a249de180914789d40ab031c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 6c | 6,399$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.33 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 5c | 4,991$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.66 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 7c | 4,799$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.41 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 5c | 4,104$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.48 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 5c | 3,290$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.63 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed Yes | 7c | 2,869$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 7c | 1,800$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.86 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0363…d67abacked Yes | 6c | 1,048$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,010$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…f61fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 6c | 912$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 5c | 900$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed Yes | 2c | 487$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 6c | 475$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 5c | 463$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 441.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 4c | 411.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…2063backed Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 17c | 284.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 6c | 265.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 6c | 210.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 7c | 172.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…53c9backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb65…5678backed Yes | 13c | 117.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…8a25backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…4656backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0760…c72ebacked Yes | 11c | 87.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…664ebacked No | 59c | 77.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brighton finish in the top 4 of EPL?this page
- Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of EPL?No won
- Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL?Yes won
- Will Fulham finish in the top 4 of EPL?No won
- Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL?Yes won
- Will Newcastle United finish in the top 4 of EPL?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.