Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa98284a87e97931bed95d06bee22c68aac45b5d37d7c8e5e0112e072a167bb31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $305,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $306,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 21c | 33,004$6,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,882.01 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 79c | 30,949$24,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,613.24 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…4659backed No | 23c | 24,962$5,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,634.83 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked No | 26c | 24,808$6,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,510.43 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked No | 27c | 20,598$5,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,582.1 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…2427backed No | 8c | 18,268$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 25c | 11,552$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897.92 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…f117backed Yes | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf989…47ccbacked Yes | 62c | 8,271$5,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,109.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked No | 34c | 5,754$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.9 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 71c | 4,741$3,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.46 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 23c | 4,457$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.39 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 21c | 4,124$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.68 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed No | 32c | 3,557$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.27 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 38c | 3,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 29c | 3,335$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 65c | 3,047$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.24 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed No | 11c | 2,856$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.93 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 68c | 2,757$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.85 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 23c | 2,527$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.03 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes | 62c | 2,500$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.35 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047b…ef6fbacked Yes | 77c | 2,143$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.89 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6835backed Yes | 79c | 2,000$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +60%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b61…78e8backed Yes | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +302.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 37c | 1,947$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f77…b4e3backed Yes | 69c | 1,755$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 63c | 1,640$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.07 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…b339backed No | 23c | 1,600$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.99 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed No | 12c | 1,575$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed Yes | 67c | 1,501$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.28 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Yes | 59c | 1,465$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.72 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…a667backed Yes | 78c | 1,361$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 22c | 1,344$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.66 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 57c | 1,263$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.19 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 16c | 1,259$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.48 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Yes | 77c | 1,235$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 21c | 1,163$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.72 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ed51backed No | 22c | 1,156$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd74e…407cbacked Yes | 65c | 1,150$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked No | 11c | 1,125$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.97 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed No | 35c | 1,097$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.78 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed No | 43c | 918.18$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.4 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…c9dabacked No | 33c | 916.27$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 32c | 827.96$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.34 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked Yes | 62c | 810.32$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.32 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 64c | 801.61$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.08 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 25c | 771.53$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.03 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…a638backed Yes | 64c | 719.8$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Yes | 74c | 677.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 10c | 675.37$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.54 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3896…ece6backed Yes | 62c | 640.12$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.12 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed No | 40c | 625.38$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked No | 13c | 621$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.46 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked Yes | 63c | 578.15$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 67c | 573.41$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.49 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2808…16babacked Yes | 67c | 566.88$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 60c | 555$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 40c | 550.77$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.9 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 58c | 533.73$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.33 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…9bdfbacked No | 9c | 525.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…9729backed Yes | 67c | 497.32$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffc…19adbacked Yes | 61c | 495.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 13c | 486.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa0…e7cfbacked Yes | 73c | 468.61$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.31 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…ff01backed Yes | 72c | 440$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…0101backed Yes | 77c | 435$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Yes | 78c | 373.28$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.54 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…25eebacked Yes | 77c | 350$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 25c | 346.44$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.12 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 58c | 337.59$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.35 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 79c | 332.4$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.98 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfec…5083backed Yes | 69c | 328.26$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.92 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…0de1backed Yes | 62c | 321.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1427…b605backed Yes | 64c | 312$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb14…26e8backed No | 36c | 312$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 21c | 304.15$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…f23abacked No | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb82…1537backed Yes | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833d…c669backed No | 25c | 299.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…b65bbacked Yes | 78c | 275$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ab…6047backed No | 37c | 271.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked Yes | 76c | 270$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 23c | 267.32$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.84 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…28d0backed Yes | 59c | 252.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 34c | 252.73$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 62c | 245$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed No | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 25c | 243.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.13 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11cb…5be9backed Yes | 66c | 240.23$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 80c | 226$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x737c…2958backed Yes | 57c | 207$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked No | 25c | 203.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97a5…c111backed No | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -66%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc2…76c7backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 23c | 199.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…6e7abacked Yes | 58c | 198.9$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed No | 18c | 194.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8f…caecbacked Yes | 66c | 193.02$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538f…b40ebacked Yes | 77c | 192.81$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 74cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 37c | 189.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL?this page
- Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of EPL?No won
- Will Brighton finish in the top 4 of EPL?No won
- Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL?Yes won
- Will Fulham finish in the top 4 of EPL?No won
- Will Newcastle United finish in the top 4 of EPL?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.