TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United finish in the top 4 of EPL?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$246,783
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$243,190

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,783 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8067…5cc2backed Yes26c69,600$18,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,09610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0c2…764bbacked No74c69,600$51,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,0961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No32c8,609$2,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,887.552941.4%12 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick23cpaid+9.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed No73c6,450$4,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,768.54766%31 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00e2…d56abacked Yes27c5,697$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.382733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes5c5,440$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.9560%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4344…caefbacked No55c3,235$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.791435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed No48c3,154$1,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.317447.3%35 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a35…941bbacked Yes44c2,850$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…4a10backed Yes74c2,531$1,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,876.851747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8679…4659backed No68c2,511$1,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.131457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes42c2,392$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac61…f5f7backed Yes32c1,857$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.5250%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf501…8852backed Yes71c1,823$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53d2…0c3fbacked No58c1,821$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.241566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf65b…36dfbacked Yes74c1,765$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2388…a491backed Yes30c1,650$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4871118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-68.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe306…d100backed No73c1,553$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.812138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4167…2427backed Yes70c1,528$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.911435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb497…9c9bbacked Yes73c1,450$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cfc…7f80backed No51c1,427$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.492138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed No27c1,253$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.931442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Yes76c1,248$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.853262.5%20 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes41c1,205$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.156540%26 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No48c1,163$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.512540%10 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed No70c1,043$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8112053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf921…94dbbacked Yes65c1,021$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-52.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Yes57c1,000$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.862466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d0f…50c7backed Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No28c955.81$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.2820819.2%40 W · 168 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8a3…cd82backed Yes52c950$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No67c949.25$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.356939.1%27 W · 42 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No50c925.96$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.421548.8%105 W · 110 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes22c896.06$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.1925329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes26c881$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.45712.3%7 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-39.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes43c863.78$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.733718.9%7 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-63.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf7d0…2ce3backed Yes75c770.75$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9977…3020backed No55c748.61$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.043234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-40.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed No26c632.13$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.782040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb792…5e3dbacked Yes72c628.17$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a95…9bbbbacked Yes4c606.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.91837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed No72c594.32$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.5912959.7%77 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2cd…bb91backed Yes77c578.01$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe077…8ee3backed Yes18c561.95$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.061816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2d…8f7bbacked Yes49c511.22$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb11…e93fbacked Yes31c500$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.634637%17 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes50c500$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24911761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed Yes29c472.36$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.523023.3%7 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-36.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes78c471.85$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.84119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-86%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac33…5bb6backed Yes18c461.1$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x791a…5798backed No50c455$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.533100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6852…304cbacked Yes50c455$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.5330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes45c422.18$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.831717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-64.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55f5…c20ebacked Yes57c417.35$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.894045%18 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x463e…664ebacked Yes10c387.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.74267.7%2 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-88.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes77c387.18$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004852.1%25 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes34c385.63$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.684845.8%22 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb45…d6babacked No26c360$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+286.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf031…89b5backed No28c344$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.18450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed Yes50c336.69$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1682536%9 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Yes28c330.35$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.735253.8%28 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed No25c326$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.761145.5%5 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick17cpaid+120.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7620…d9f0backed Yes49c319.68$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab98…a89ebacked Yes75c314.99$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed No73c301.17$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.147343.8%32 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4852…0770backed Yes72c277.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0540…98ebbacked No71c250$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.51861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+58%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked No20c245.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.217234.9%60 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes53c234.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.838631.4%27 W · 59 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No77c230.27$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9628355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes50c226.56$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.675042%21 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f8d…6835backed No28c224$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+60%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No55c216.45$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0112965.1%84 W · 45 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6204…421abacked Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d8e…d191backed No63c207.1$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+128.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1447651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x501f…f746backed Yes76c200$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x177a…c284backed Yes50c198$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992045%9 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc710…afe5backed Yes50c193$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.93425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-59.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8784…f1aebacked Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509151.6%47 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x369b…5129backed Yes24c175.66$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.862213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8660…a661backed Yes76c159.28$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd46c…f641backed No71c156$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.241241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes39c152.17$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5920040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf5…c7d5backed Yes72c143.06$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1031060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes47c141.22$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.371926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb99…8c33backed No45c139.06$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.99742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No25c131$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.251560%9 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+105.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed No48c129.16$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.169148.4%44 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06b9…fb44backed Yes32c128$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.381717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-67%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf720…4599backed Yes32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No55c123.6$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.493221.9%7 W · 25 L-6.4wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-59.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8e97…b339backed Yes43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.63145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af3…dc15backed Yes18c112.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+44.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…a249backed Yes48c111.7$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+86.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No26c108$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.442037.4%15 W · 188 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes53c102.55$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9466031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb393…f733backed Yes74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed No22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22c2…3019backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.