TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of EPL?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,443
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,914

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,443 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes5c3,950$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.955712.3%7 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-39.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17c0…c49bbacked Yes4c3,672$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.1850%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes6c2,891$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.262941.4%12 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick23cpaid+9.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes4c1,958$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.06119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-74.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes4c1,643$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.066939.1%27 W · 42 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10f6…8a22backed Yes6c1,633$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes9c1,617$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.8325329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed Yes4c1,429$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.512040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes17c1,414$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.67119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-86%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed No78c1,375$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.228652.3%45 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Yes13c1,299$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.93333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ba7…9b4dbacked Yes5c1,261$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.872832.1%9 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes1c1,100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118734.5%30 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ab…6047backed Yes9c1,099$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes7c1,063$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.541947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x98cb…aa35backed Yes4c1,051$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes23c999.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-55.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Yes6c881.93$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.816630.3%20 W · 46 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed No77c765.98$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.3715328.8%44 W · 109 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cfc…7f80backed Yes13c735.04$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.762138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x701c…4615backed Yes16c629.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+135.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa117…1aa9backed Yes8c600$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.121136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3360…a12ebacked Yes20c542.78$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf4…8f44backed Yes19c525.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes8c519.04$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.427846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3c…f189backed Yes10c518.29$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.24714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-74.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Yes4c516.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.537343.8%32 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes5c510.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2526247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0066…49e4backed Yes4c500$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.54533.3%15 W · 30 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x797c…1c9cbacked Yes5c498$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b2…0d0fbacked Yes7c436.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes10c378.31$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2560%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb841…791abacked Yes24c340.39$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x555f…012bbacked Yes5c338.68$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.28520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-73%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…1807backed Yes5c322$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69bb…0f5cbacked Yes9c302.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes14c292.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4026054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes8c284.06$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4866031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fc8…f9a3backed Yes5c284$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2e…6856backed Yes11c265.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-40.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d04…bf7cbacked Yes5c252$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb11…e93fbacked Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504637%17 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7a5…4366backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Yes9c219.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205253.8%28 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x783e…1174backed Yes11c219.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61e…2805backed Yes5c213$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes26c211$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8116848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x181e…b834backed Yes15c208$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x833d…c669backed Yes12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e7c…596cbacked Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-81.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a95…9bbbbacked Yes21c181.71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.16837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe643…c59cbacked Yes14c179$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9635…cf5bbacked Yes15c161$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06b9…fb44backed Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-67%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6d…d94cbacked Yes15c138.2$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ba…2063backed Yes10c137.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.721040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85bf…cf2bbacked Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-73%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa619…ea2fbacked Yes14c117$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ca…cd74backed Yes15c114$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cc2…76c7backed Yes19c107.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd468…9472backed Yes19c103.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes19c103.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011640.5%47 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes15c103$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.772037.4%15 W · 188 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6edc…6975backed Yes17c100.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa93a…0f5cbacked Yes16c100.38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1680%0 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9261…9065backed Yes12c100.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x463e…664ebacked No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5267.7%2 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-88.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6968…447bbacked Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12e1…51f6backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139534.7%33 W · 62 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf660…333fbacked Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-75%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b5e…91dabacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.36per pick47cpaid-76.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes13c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51560%9 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+105.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x18a7…d21abacked Yes17c97.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.87110%0 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e44…63f4backed Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+59.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15205%1 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-82.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78a4…4d8fbacked Yes17c74.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a5…9cbabacked Yes15c73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f12…ffe0backed Yes15c72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb32a…cdd2backed Yes15c69$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe91d…c4c8backed Yes22c68.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick31cpaid-85.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3f84backed No78c61.7$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.553551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…0e6dbacked Yes27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa468…d83bbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-36%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4294…ee29backed No69c48.39$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b55…02f8backed No79c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.413652.2%71 W · 65 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.