TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36b2…0d0f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Serie A, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Finals: Will any game go to overtime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
NBA Finals: Thunder vs. Pacers backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Thunder vs Pacers: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
NBA Finals G1: Will Haliburton score 18+ points against the Thunder? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
NBA Finals G1: Will SGA score 34+ points against the Pacers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
NBA Playoffs: Pacers vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Will Tyrese Haliburton score 21+ points against the Knicks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Will the Pacers beat the Knicks 4-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+203%+$30.45
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Nuggets (To Advance)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Pacers beat the Cavaliers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will the Pacers beat the Cavaliers 4-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+245.5%+$49.1
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+245.2%+$98.1
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Flyersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Canucks vs. Devilsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
All 4 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$83.7
Will AC Milan beat AS Roma? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Fever win the 2025 WNBA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Lynx vs Wingsbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tommy Paul reach the quarterfinals of the French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leverkusen vs. Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid beat Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KSI win the match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.