Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b863b7b56fa6b1133c6302092fe4141a6b7cfe1bfbabdc29266bd146fc1f34e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $361,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $513,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $361,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3196…146fbacked Yes | 37c | 101,113$37,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,710.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 63c | 28,759$18,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,118.17 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 37c | 21,622$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,621.62 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 63c | 20,792$13,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,043.74 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab46…eb4ebacked No | 66c | 7,582$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 37c | 5,310$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360.47 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 63c | 3,763$2,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370.81 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 63c | 3,275$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.18 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 64c | 3,251$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.43 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…e5ecbacked Yes | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 64c | 2,958$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.32 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 64c | 2,904$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.64 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 36c | 2,757$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.76 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 65c | 2,710$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.77 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 65c | 2,325$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.27 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…1134backed No | 64c | 2,100$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked No | 33c | 1,818$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 34c | 1,771$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.86 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 66c | 1,623$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.06 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Yes | 37c | 1,622$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.62 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…c3acbacked Yes | 65c | 1,602$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 63c | 1,600$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 39c | 1,519$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.39 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Yes | 35c | 1,420$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.99 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Yes | 36c | 1,388$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.48 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 34c | 1,273$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.66 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Yes | 66c | 1,263$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.56 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x337b…0503backed Yes | 36c | 1,250$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 75c | 1,205$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.81 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97b…388dbacked Yes | 36c | 1,100$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +150%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 37c | 1,091$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.45 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 72c | 1,022$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked Yes | 68c | 1,021$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…c635backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 37c | 959.46$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.46 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…a524backed Yes | 36c | 742.49$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.29 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb070…96f7backed No | 64c | 670$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dae…9574backed Yes | 37c | 621.62$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked No | 13c | 580.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.03 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1358…1af4backed No | 66c | 549.96$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Yes | 68c | 513.96$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.47 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 66c | 504.55$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.55 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 63c | 503.78$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.38 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 43c | 495.44$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.08 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 36c | 472.22$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.22 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 36c | 409.06$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.8 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 37c | 400$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 36c | 400$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed No | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed No | 69c | 363.38$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.73 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -8.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Yes | 36c | 349.86$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.91 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcd…d75bbacked Yes | 36c | 313.89$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +144.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a3…6ed8backed Yes | 70c | 313.57$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.07 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Yes | 66c | 303.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.1 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…366bbacked No | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 35c | 299.66$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.78 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 7c | 293.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b8…f54cbacked Yes | 36c | 282.08$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.53 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…dfaabacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cb…126cbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…439bbacked Yes | 36c | 276.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Yes | 36c | 275$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…db98backed Yes | 37c | 254.05$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.05 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…72f7backed Yes | 37c | 237.84$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.84 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Yes | 66c | 234.61$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yes | 36c | 221.62$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.62 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd5…6962backed Yes | 35c | 216$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…2e60backed No | 65c | 216$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…88a6backed Yes | 37c | 189.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.19 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 64c | 186.47$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.34 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 63c | 182.81$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.17 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 46c | 180$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.98 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…0d0fbacked Yes | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 63c | 159$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 63c | 159$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed No | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 63c | 105$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 63c | 103.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4009…f2b4backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b8…2d83backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 67c | 98.51$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 36c | 91.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-10?this page
- Will Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?No won
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.