Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4f0e5b45045a1bb7ca429e751e3c6797210d44092204634227efa8fecdbaff2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45fc…2bf4backed Yes | 38c | 54,100$20,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,558 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd5…6962backed No | 62c | 54,100$33,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,558 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 37c | 23,751$8,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,803.14 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 39c | 20,556$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 61c | 10,179$6,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,970.45 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 62c | 5,821$3,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.48 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes | 31c | 4,162$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.72 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 39c | 3,258$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.18 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 40c | 2,850$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.37 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 71c | 2,743$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.22 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed No | 63c | 2,098$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.17 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d8…a851backed No | 61c | 1,790$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x457c…fa41backed Yes | 39c | 1,788$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.21 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1358…1af4backed No | 62c | 1,550$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked No | 63c | 1,269$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.53 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 63c | 1,213$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.64 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes | 4c | 1,200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c07…9748backed Yes | 2c | 1,118$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7961backed Yes | 4c | 1,092$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Yes | 38c | 1,040$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 62c | 999.98$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…c378backed No | 64c | 890.33$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.52 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 3c | 833.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3d…f0c9backed Yes | 38c | 802.67$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…40b6backed Yes | 37c | 750$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 39c | 600$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked No | 63c | 593$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.41 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 61c | 499.99$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 37c | 406.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.22 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…9fd9backed Yes | 38c | 403.04$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed No | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d2…95e0backed No | 62c | 363.23$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…9cafbacked Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 75c | 292$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.92 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 9c | 249.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61fc…1f6abacked No | 62c | 243.82$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 75c | 233$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yes | 34c | 203.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed Yes | 34c | 165.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 38c | 142.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…ed5fbacked Yes | 39c | 119.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…937abacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed No | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed No | 62c | 99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 61c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5854…8d98backed No | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed No | 63c | 63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 41c | 61.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x621d…f11ebacked Yes | 33c | 60.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed No | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Yes | 38c | 57.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…1617backed Yes | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4279…05cabacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7b…ea70backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes | 38c | 44.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Yes | 38c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d90…d769backed Yes | 39c | 33.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed No | 63c | 32.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…2853backed Yes | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…64a0backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 62c | 22.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1989…ba99backed No | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-05-10?this page
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-10?Yes won
- Will Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.