Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x296d78050fd9e2890dc26be44abfe2d8a490d77706525f0852425d5301e02d2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Yes | 29c | 69,617$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,999.67 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 71c | 20,000$14,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33ec…2682backed Yes | 27c | 9,999$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663a…12e0backed No | 73c | 9,998$7,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 71c | 8,379$5,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.85 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 72c | 4,487$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.24 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes | 28c | 4,135$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.14 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 2,992$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.6 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 72c | 2,971$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.14 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 28c | 2,857$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Yes | 27c | 1,835$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.45 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 27c | 1,721$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.88 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 26c | 1,674$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.13 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 72c | 1,438$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.07 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x776c…7b79backed No | 74c | 1,354$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 72c | 939.99$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.2 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 72c | 868.04$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.05 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 72c | 832$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.96 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Yes | 26c | 620.36$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.29 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 27c | 609.62$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 27c | 601.14$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 74c | 483$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.58 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 71c | 412$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.86 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1e…49d9backed Yes | 26c | 392.08$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.94 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 27c | 368.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…dfaabacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 26c | 331.85$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 64c | 295$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.81 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Yes | 29c | 207.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 71c | 160$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 73c | 110$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…8fd1backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fc…b47dbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7961backed Yes | 24c | 94.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yes | 37c | 86.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7b…ea70backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddf…a6a6backed No | 74c | 74.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…ffdfbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 73c | 58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes | 27c | 58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked No | 72c | 56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 74c | 54.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…fa0dbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…67a8backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d42…787fbacked No | 78c | 38.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 76cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 313 | 59.4%186 W · 127 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed No | 74c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…9743backed No | 75c | 16.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…5329backed No | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…6b3ebacked No | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?this page
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-10?Yes won
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.