Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6130e756a17e7e5318fbca18cce21552b3adc0b9e99ea3966275c0c63ad3488
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $286,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $265,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf99a…bc0bbacked No | 61c | 36,676$22,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,303.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…eb53backed Yes | 39c | 36,676$14,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,303.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 69c | 13,871$9,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,266.03 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked Yes | 36c | 10,934$3,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,881.65 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed Yes | 20c | 10,614$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.66 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 68c | 10,061$6,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,263.25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 23c | 7,643$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.82 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…5505backed Yes | 0c | 5,583$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 38c | 5,556$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.92 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…0a0fbacked Yes | 15c | 5,080$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.74 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 21c | 4,782$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.23 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 29c | 4,524$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.14 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 2c | 4,438$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 78c | 3,727$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.98 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…89b6backed Yes | 45c | 3,603$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 23c | 3,084$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.47 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd08f…9ecfbacked Yes | 27c | 3,028$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.43 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked No | 58c | 2,684$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…78d4backed Yes | 39c | 2,537$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8664…dd88backed Yes | 46c | 2,409$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked Yes | 20c | 2,298$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…886ebacked No | 79c | 2,210$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.1 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 2c | 2,131$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 30c | 2,054$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.56 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 73c | 2,009$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.94 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes | 26c | 1,950$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 4c | 1,818$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked No | 72c | 1,814$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.93 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 31c | 1,805$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.07 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 60c | 1,700$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.99 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 66c | 1,527$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.19 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…daeebacked No | 72c | 1,374$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.05 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 37c | 1,354$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.05 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 17c | 1,321$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.57 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d0…620cbacked Yes | 31c | 1,319$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 21c | 1,288$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.26 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 2c | 1,230$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 73c | 1,218$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.83 | 158 | 55.1%87 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 68c | 1,198$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.79 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…c1b8backed Yes | 15c | 1,169$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…b36cbacked No | 67c | 1,165$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.05 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 25c | 1,158$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.42 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e2…1546backed Yes | 36c | 1,119$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.49 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe71c…dcecbacked Yes | 38c | 1,105$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7380…5840backed Yes | 30c | 1,095$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 78c | 1,070$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…f962backed Yes | 47c | 1,061$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…bfacbacked No | 72c | 1,028$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf13…690abacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed Yes | 24c | 999.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 14c | 981.82$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.26 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed Yes | 30c | 981.43$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.43 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc835…8af5backed No | 71c | 968.27$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.54 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 11c | 935.61$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…30aabacked Yes | 16c | 919.93$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…c966backed No | 68c | 917.7$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.12 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9110…4a41backed Yes | 22c | 908.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 8c | 878.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2884…d0c3backed No | 74c | 854.22$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.68 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…de51backed No | 79c | 752.95$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 40c | 741.83$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.57 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed Yes | 14c | 739.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 136 | 22.8%31 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 64c | 732.07$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed No | 69c | 718.99$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.53 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 77c | 712.55$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…8f17backed No | 69c | 689.95$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.19 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…7c02backed No | 67c | 688.92$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.49 | 94 | 75.5%71 W · 23 L | +10.9wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ab…fc03backed Yes | 2c | 672.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 43c | 651.74$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.7 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 68c | 600.2$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.67 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked Yes | 37c | 559.17$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.56 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x069f…b749backed Yes | 37c | 540.4$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb9…b39cbacked No | 59c | 539.95$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 61c | 533.48$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.84 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…681fbacked No | 65c | 518.12$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.94 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…be78backed No | 57c | 513.7$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…a23ebacked No | 73c | 502.76$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.86 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x249c…2783backed No | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…9d60backed Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb084…92dcbacked Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed No | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed No | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee1…bb2ebacked Yes | 2c | 479.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea36…f272backed Yes | 5c | 462.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed No | 61c | 452.92$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.06 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 62c | 452.6$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.14 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…3fdebacked Yes | 45c | 449.92$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 446.4$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.35 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…6ffdbacked Yes | 5c | 436.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…1106backed No | 66c | 431.73$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…272dbacked No | 64c | 422$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.51 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x654b…c791backed No | 74c | 416.63$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87f…fb1fbacked Yes | 31c | 412.9$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -81%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b87…e76dbacked No | 75c | 400.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 64c | 400$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.71 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed No | 58c | 399.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.