Middle East · resolved market
Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4728a4bbf16c22a1278e37e6244e2bf1d5899c97274442f803030b3018c32795
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $292,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $293,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36b8…4ee0backed Yes | 27c | 12,937$3,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 74c | 12,746$9,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,253.18 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 42c | 8,388$3,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,526.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…d440backed No | 76c | 7,536$5,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Yes | 19c | 6,994$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.78 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 20c | 6,741$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.59 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 44c | 6,428$2,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,572.41 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2395…6154backed Yes | 1c | 5,955$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe352…f259backed Yes | 11c | 5,609$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 69c | 5,126$3,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.93 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 20c | 5,041$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.02 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -84%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…c633backed Yes | 4c | 4,747$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 1c | 4,613$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 130 | 33.1%43 W · 87 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9b…7faabacked Yes | 20c | 4,362$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 68c | 3,863$2,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.71 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…dfb6backed Yes | 32c | 3,780$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.17 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 71c | 3,674$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.93 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 51c | 3,299$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.6 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked Yes | 52c | 2,918$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.51 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4895…0a83backed Yes | 25c | 2,894$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.91 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd863…4df2backed No | 75c | 2,688$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed Yes | 1c | 2,540$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 71c | 2,448$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.8 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 37c | 2,429$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.78 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 80c | 2,383$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.16 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…2992backed Yes | 32c | 2,172$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 23c | 2,091$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.56 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 35c | 2,090$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed No | 72c | 2,087$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.15 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…ebe8backed Yes | 4c | 2,061$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 63c | 2,016$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.3 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…89b6backed Yes | 22c | 2,000$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.94 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…d0d9backed Yes | 31c | 1,749$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.55 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee64…c04ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,701$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…c77cbacked Yes | 47c | 1,691$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.1 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 71c | 1,584$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.76 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed Yes | 22c | 1,545$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.46 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd23…0242backed Yes | 27c | 1,541$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb094…af05backed Yes | 44c | 1,534$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f3…d859backed No | 79c | 1,472$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.87 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…451fbacked Yes | 43c | 1,452$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed No | 29c | 1,452$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.21 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 71c | 1,388$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.18 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked No | 80c | 1,382$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.78 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…36f3backed Yes | 22c | 1,355$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb45…d6babacked Yes | 41c | 1,330$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 12c | 1,326$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.03 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…c91ebacked No | 73c | 1,202$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.93 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 21c | 1,192$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.75 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 31c | 1,161$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.84 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 55c | 1,157$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.58 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…19cfbacked Yes | 20c | 1,150$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.36 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Yes | 24c | 1,125$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.71 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf526…35b1backed No | 77c | 1,124$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547b…014cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,102$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e84…7040backed Yes | 22c | 1,081$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 46c | 1,027$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.96 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 7c | 1,009$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5167…dc43backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7d…7e36backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 18c | 999.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.12 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed No | 73c | 993.65$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.29 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…1b02backed Yes | 21c | 956.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…a137backed Yes | 4c | 927.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd08f…9ecfbacked Yes | 21c | 918.61$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9529…7c6abacked No | 75c | 916.74$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.06 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 49c | 914.8$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.56 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed No | 57c | 909$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked No | 68c | 906.54$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.92 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…10dabacked Yes | 30c | 905.51$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 26c | 865.32$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.47 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed No | 79c | 844.47$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.7 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 28c | 840.34$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.83 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 21c | 829.37$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.18 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked No | 64c | 817.77$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.56 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5744…9093backed Yes | 37c | 804.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb38…ce37backed Yes | 38c | 755.15$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 71c | 754.99$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…b56abacked No | 67c | 748.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2324…c779backed Yes | 20c | 747.47$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 3c | 740.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…9380backed Yes | 26c | 737.62$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 28c | 713.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes | 29c | 710$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x358a…d45fbacked Yes | 29c | 699.34$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.92 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 75c | 695.09$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.64 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes | 43c | 688.85$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.37 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -85%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35f6…4f56backed Yes | 36c | 671.77$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…efa8backed Yes | 30c | 656.36$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…2a22backed No | 73c | 650.27$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1446…939abacked No | 73c | 649.37$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked No | 79c | 646.04$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.04 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e16…84d7backed Yes | 17c | 631.55$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.1 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349c…7413backed Yes | 4c | 622.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked No | 66c | 600$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.66 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 598.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 75c | 569.85$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.84 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 74c | 550$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 64c | 549.38$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.84 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.