Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x469f3c4e904a5df055d7819bf6c93e122678eb793aab00d76e64fecc6ab13aab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 40c | 12,268$4,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,897 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 60c | 10,783$6,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,313.39 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Yes | 45c | 9,342$4,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,203.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 59c | 4,423$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.43 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 58c | 3,848$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.15 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 55c | 2,517$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.52 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…0a95backed Yes | 42c | 2,451$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9749…b3e3backed Yes | 42c | 2,444$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a12…ab0fbacked No | 58c | 1,749$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c15…4c30backed No | 58c | 1,723$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 42c | 1,618$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.95 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 55c | 1,455$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.75 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c66…1cb4backed No | 58c | 1,422$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 60c | 1,203$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.49 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 31c | 1,159$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.58 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 54c | 1,032$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.54 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Yes | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Yes | 50c | 548.75$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.94 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…612abacked Yes | 40c | 508.2$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yes | 39c | 505.46$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.13 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 40c | 498.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 55c | 437.82$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.13 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 58c | 411.22$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.57 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 22c | 395.34$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.94 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 42c | 376.19$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 42c | 313$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.46 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 56c | 287.97$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.87 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed No | 59c | 279.49$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.92 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 49c | 240$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Yes | 67c | 234.71$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.69 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Yes | 44c | 219.59$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ef…2c77backed Yes | 46c | 189.18$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 46c | 147.83$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Yes | 70c | 140$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 45c | 132.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1476…99aabacked Yes | 45c | 113.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce5…ce97backed Yes | 45c | 107.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9043…2465backed Yes | 46c | 93.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9d…fc59backed No | 56c | 92.09$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0808…099cbacked Yes | 46c | 89.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111e…9c84backed Yes | 46c | 89.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -68%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…f90cbacked No | 56c | 89.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…0c70backed Yes | 46c | 88.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f10…60a7backed No | 56c | 88.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325d…515cbacked No | 56c | 87.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225f…e3a4backed No | 56c | 86.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc2…426cbacked No | 56c | 85.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf7…7bdebacked No | 56c | 83.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23da…a168backed Yes | 46c | 83.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c8…6533backed No | 56c | 82.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…4641backed Yes | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked No | 60c | 69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…182bbacked Yes | 45c | 68.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…db98backed Yes | 43c | 53.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…c7a1backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…c7c8backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 56c | 25.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…ec4bbacked No | 56c | 25.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…0d0fbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Yes | 43c | 24.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda51…46a5backed No | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford win on 2025-05-25?this page
- Will Wolves vs. Brentford end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Wolves win on 2025-05-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.