Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves vs. Brentford end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecb46c2fe61f6f2396f5bae30a8adcdfc823e9ca3cf95051c7d52126bee988b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 1c | 24,880$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.8 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked No | 75c | 8,869$6,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,628.62 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Yes | 25c | 3,600$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked No | 20c | 2,782$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 25c | 2,039$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.61 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 26c | 1,250$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 73c | 1,104$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.18 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…6437backed Yes | 25c | 980$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +159.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Yes | 26c | 961.54$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.54 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 25c | 846.64$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.98 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd6…48c1backed No | 75c | 735$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 25c | 725.13$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.2 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 75c | 266.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc349…754fbacked No | 75c | 265$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Yes | 25c | 250$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 72c | 178.57$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.57 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 74c | 144.23$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.73 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32fb…49c7backed Yes | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1e…49d9backed Yes | 25c | 85.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.98 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 28c | 77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 76c | 47.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4e…5435backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Yes | 26c | 39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves vs. Brentford end in a draw?this page
- Will Brentford win on 2025-05-25?No won
- Will Wolves win on 2025-05-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.