Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves win on 2025-05-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f2a199f5d023c67f669a35318e0ac46c562d40ac58855d2a06fa9035544a9ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 34c | 3,050$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 67c | 1,666$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.73 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 66c | 1,212$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.08 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…070fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,129$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x937f…982dbacked Yes | 33c | 990$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 69c | 973.91$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.91 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…53c8backed No | 67c | 960$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 67c | 873.51$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.36 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 67c | 761.78$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.38 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked No | 64c | 629.01$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.44 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 10c | 509.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…612abacked Yes | 22c | 464.59$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 36c | 394.44$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked No | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b48…51d0backed No | 67c | 142.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 70c | 107.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 34c | 95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Yes | 33c | 68.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 34c | 63.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…c7a1backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 67c | 43.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 66c | 38.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…923fbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a68…57bfbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves win on 2025-05-25?this page
- Will Brentford win on 2025-05-25?No won
- Will Wolves vs. Brentford end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.