NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1868ace58876ffbf38d5ea7c51fa19be924c1195fbf23e0367d36785335da91d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Sabres, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0bb7…e7c3backed Flyers | 49c | 12,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,099.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Sabres | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.9wins | -0.25per pick | 66cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Flyers | 51c | 7,921$4,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,881.17 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Sabres | 51c | 7,755$3,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,984.21 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Sabres | 50c | 7,291$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,639.88 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Flyers | 53c | 6,478$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,012.53 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Sabres | 50c | 4,444$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flyers | 50c | 4,411$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.52 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Flyers | 65c | 4,302$2,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.54 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sabres | 44c | 3,873$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.01 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Sabres | 52c | 3,863$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Flyers | 49c | 3,798$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.89 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Sabres | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Flyers | 52c | 2,568$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.89 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Flyers | 62c | 2,532$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.98 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Sabres | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…599dbacked Sabres | 48c | 2,165$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.17 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x206a…29eebacked Sabres | 51c | 2,032$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sabres | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.97 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Sabres | 51c | 1,850$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Sabres | 36c | 1,677$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.84 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Flyers | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.96 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 70c | 1,370$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.18 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e46…8e3dbacked Flyers | 50c | 1,250$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Flyers | 48c | 1,235$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.1 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe696…36a0backed Sabres | 49c | 1,233$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a48…9f3ebacked Flyers | 51c | 1,233$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Sabres | 25c | 1,211$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3318…ea60backed Flyers | 51c | 1,122$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0417…a81ebacked Sabres | 49c | 1,122$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf98c…bf06backed Sabres | 49c | 1,116$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa1…fd2dbacked Flyers | 51c | 1,116$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf7…7894backed Sabres | 49c | 1,059$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bab…b470backed Flyers | 51c | 1,059$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Sabres | 37c | 1,042$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.39 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Sabres | 49c | 1,011$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sabres | 48c | 1,000$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.35 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Flyers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Flyers | 52c | 961.09$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.17 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…c866backed Flyers | 51c | 958$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.42 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x014a…8aefbacked Sabres | 49c | 958$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Sabres | 51c | 901.53$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.78 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Flyers | 49c | 892.13$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.2 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Flyers | 49c | 879.97$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.78 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Flyers | 77c | 860.35$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.35 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Flyers | 50c | 779.71$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.86 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Flyers | 52c | 770$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.6 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd7…1778backed Flyers | 67c | 679.32$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.57 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Flyers | 52c | 673.44$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.25 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Flyers | 50c | 614$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.88 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Flyers | 52c | 601.92$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.92 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Sabres | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…73cdbacked Flyers | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Flyers | 48c | 599.97$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1008…5b2abacked Sabres | 35c | 577.14$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Flyers | 68c | 505.91$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.89 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Flyers | 48c | 488.36$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.58 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…58c5backed Flyers | 50c | 394$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Sabres | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e5…8ecbbacked Flyers | 50c | 392$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…b719backed Sabres | 51c | 388.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a9…98ccbacked Sabres | 51c | 386.27$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd060…6919backed Sabres | 51c | 384.31$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Flyers | 54c | 368.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.42 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Flyers | 49c | 348$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.48 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec16…07f9backed Sabres | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Flyers | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Sabres | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Flyers | 49c | 290.7$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.31 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres | 49c | 286.98$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.06 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Sabres | 32c | 262.91$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.13 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…547dbacked Flyers | 51c | 249.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.49 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Flyers | 52c | 245$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Flyers | 51c | 221.78$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.67 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf716…7667backed Sabres | 52c | 215.38$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sabres | 33c | 207.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.06 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Flyers | 49c | 201.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Flyers | 48c | 201$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.86 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Sabres | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Flyers | 51c | 194.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.35 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…2c58backed Sabres | 49c | 185.71$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…d8b0backed Flyers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…bfb8backed Flyers | 50c | 177.38$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Sabres | 23c | 165.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…ae06backed Sabres | 33c | 160$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Flyers | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Sabres | 38c | 152.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Flyers | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Flyers | 53c | 132.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.51 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Flyers | 62c | 121.49$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Flyers | 64c | 120.33$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x850e…39eebacked Flyers | 50c | 119.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Flyers | 68c | 113.16$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…3c1dbacked Flyers | 50c | 107.06$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…f11cbacked Sabres | 46c | 105$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9c…503bbacked Sabres | 52c | 104.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88d6…4cb4backed Sabres | 32c | 103.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Flyers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Sabres | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…a19bbacked Sabres | 26c | 96.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.