Fifa International · resolved market
Will Portugal beat Denmark?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47e75975aa5b92f61a5aabe5ae42b82eb422ce7493127c37063c9f241235393d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 55c | 4,612$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.76 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 45c | 2,022$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 55c | 1,953$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.15 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 58c | 1,743$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 57c | 1,700$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.62 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 32c | 1,393$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.99 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -6.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked No | 55c | 1,196$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b75…787ebacked Yes | 45c | 1,159$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac7…2e33backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 43c | 993.85$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.11 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 45c | 918.47$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 44c | 901.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 64c | 732$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.77 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb8…1456backed Yes | 44c | 677.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 56c | 399.97$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…a7b0backed Yes | 45c | 278$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed No | 56c | 240.92$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…8efbbacked Yes | 46c | 214.26$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…d9e5backed Yes | 46c | 204.04$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 44c | 172.73$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed No | 66c | 151.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 45.5%71 W · 85 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c1…e8b0backed Yes | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…d3d1backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 58c | 105$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6351…497cbacked Yes | 44c | 104.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…4d49backed Yes | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 56c | 101.24$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecc…cf91backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 56c | 65.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…addabacked Yes | 45c | 64.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 44c | 61.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…8746backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…6fe4backed Yes | 44c | 56.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…42b4backed No | 67c | 56.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…3aa3backed Yes | 35c | 53.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…0d0fbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…eb16backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 45c | 42.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75e5…57e9backed Yes | 45c | 32.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed Yes | 44c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 55c | 23.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 55c | 20.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portugal beat Denmark?this page
- Will Denmark beat Portugal?Yes won
- Will Denmark vs. Portugal end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.