TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$790,367
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$930,857

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $790,367 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 421 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x245b…00c5backed No55c163,999$89,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,459.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x971c…da4dbacked No54c92,648$50,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,029.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef2…c385backed Yes46c65,116$29,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,162.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+89.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3339…48a5backed Yes47c34,110$16,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,078.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed Yes46c34,000$15,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,360.311752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes46c28,087$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,087.365740.4%23 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda93…f09cbacked No54c23,893$12,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,902.21752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Yes43c22,736$9,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,067.496058.3%35 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No21c15,468$3,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,319.5730754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5999…481abacked Yes46c14,413$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,813.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No19c11,877$2,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,275.8212536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+33.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4005352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed No1c7,482$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.672934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes70c7,190$5,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,145.517853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No54c6,090$3,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,288.716060%36 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed No2c5,555$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2112921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa329…26a2backed Yes45c4,794$2,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,636.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Yes48c4,589$2,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,386.332763%17 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+33.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes46c4,339$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,338.447240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes67c4,305$2,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.5124963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x67a5…9996backed No1c4,222$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes74c3,876$2,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.5510850%54 W · 54 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+80.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes56c2,683$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.226232.3%20 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Yes46c2,437$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.751338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No55c2,242$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.9729136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe831…a42abacked Yes45c2,212$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.63847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No47c2,199$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.9212147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f0c…7728backed Yes46c2,173$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes51c1,937$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.252030%6 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcda1…d9adbacked Yes44c1,728$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.91475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+39.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes47c1,703$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.6110330.1%31 W · 72 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes46c1,600$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86013847.1%65 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d7b…6e23backed Yes44c1,600$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8964100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes70c1,600$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48018160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x29c5…b378backed Yes46c1,586$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.05875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes45c1,576$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.5636851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbecc…5f5bbacked Yes45c1,562$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes46c1,502$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.95825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Yes46c1,494$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.91850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40c4…adbebacked Yes46c1,479$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.664656.5%26 W · 20 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+27%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x66e7…e316backed Yes46c1,451$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.632951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa55b…d5ccbacked Yes45c1,418$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Yes44c1,368$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.845343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yes46c1,304$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.354450%22 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes47c1,277$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.64544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No54c1,154$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.9911132.4%36 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb116…940abacked Yes44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb16a…5a8bbacked Yes44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.36475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+71.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.369142.9%39 W · 52 L-9.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe256…12f8backed Yes47c1,126$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.58450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No56c1,054$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.2415442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes59c1,046$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.7912737%47 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Yes74c1,027$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.652060%12 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes40c1,010$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.412956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Yes70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55019645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Yes46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Yes44c999.99$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5603100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed No8c999.97$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.184242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+403.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No53c999.97$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.9923942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb1…b027backed Yes45c986.67$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.67933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fee…708abacked Yes44c974.23$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bab…b21cbacked Yes44c973.82$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97df…3088backed Yes74c943.64$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.645349.1%26 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes46c900.04$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.0220948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0484…c4ddbacked No56c889.97$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed Yes45c888.89$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.894367.4%29 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbaa…cbeabacked No57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001030%3 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick60cpaid-56.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes46c869.57$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.575949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes45c860.8$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.4430657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3869…35c2backed Yes47c851.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.061233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-40.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No59c808$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.6444955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed No55c730$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.52860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Yes47c698.94$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.443647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No56c692.67$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.919453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1080…b86ebacked Yes47c641.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.673839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes45c610.69$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.882157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Yes46c606.43$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.473033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No6c600$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3617348%83 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes43c599.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.9918334.4%63 W · 120 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f88…de75backed Yes51c588.79$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.792100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Yes44c563.58$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.61450%7 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf75a…3e62backed Yes45c534.85$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca24…069bbacked Yes44c502.64$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc243…2b37backed Yes44c502.27$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.273852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43bf…0dd3backed Yes44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick41cpaid-74.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb5be…7286backed Yes44c491$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb65d…3757backed No57c490$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9647…c18abacked Yes41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6245…d3c0backed No56c458.88$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.833828.9%11 W · 27 L-7.9wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-51.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xfa31…3b4bbacked Yes47c446.15$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1218…366bbacked Yes45c445$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.751190.9%10 W · 1 L+6.0wins+0.54per pick37cpaid+180.9%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xacaf…abaabacked Yes45c444.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.412955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x722a…2d19backed Yes44c443.98$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.631376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.8wins+0.37per pick40cpaid+113.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa1b5…4edbbacked Yes45c441.14$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.63475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1a1…5c7abacked Yes46c435$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…c83fbacked Yes46c434.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.991618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick39cpaid-56%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8773…302fbacked Yes46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.782352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f40…5028backed Yes46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+89.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7458…fecfbacked Yes47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.532100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+173%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.