TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Inter end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$261,533
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$236,064

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,533 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8130…5a82backed Yes10c65,000$6,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,650540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ad…337dbacked No73c62,752$45,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,188.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed No70c58,325$41,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,259.651752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e11…9bacbacked Yes30c51,378$15,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,388.57837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes28c11,195$3,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,098.8729136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed Yes28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid+9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes28c7,068$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.0413843.5%60 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No72c6,820$4,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,910.9117560%105 W · 70 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee72…891cbacked Yes28c5,232$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes29c4,694$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.2112536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+33.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes29c4,113$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.723531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1080…b86ebacked Yes19c3,783$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7303839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd12d…d764backed Yes28c3,057$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No72c3,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.9720948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No74c2,768$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.6412147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes14c2,487$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.776028.3%17 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes28c2,357$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6606232.3%20 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No70c2,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.9919453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No71c1,774$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.3228543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…1070backed Yes23c1,442$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.73333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Yes28c1,350$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.05850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x686e…af8cbacked Yes29c1,137$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.852934.5%10 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010330.1%31 W · 72 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x630c…1230backed Yes9c1,000$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.541711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-68.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5df3…bbadbacked Yes28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-68.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6084…e657backed Yes28c871.43$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2751…1678backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick20cpaid-67.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe559…e1bbbacked Yes28c825.04$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1385…bae4backed Yes28c791.52$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.35520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No70c784.37$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.3117048.2%82 W · 88 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No72c784.22$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.514060%24 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x88b6…e6a1backed Yes4c671.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14511218.8%21 W · 91 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes11c463.92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.925949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7f3a…4c1dbacked Yes17c450$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Yes30c444.2$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.266527.7%18 W · 47 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa020…d807backed Yes24c412.95$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.96714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-72%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd386…1887backed Yes30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d85…be2ebacked Yes3c397.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.161315.4%2 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick4cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0249…c622backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…cd12backed No71c305.43$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.571346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf980…6697backed Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a83…4c59backed Yes17c290.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502339.1%9 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x265d…5329backed No73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.97650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No71c268.79$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9517852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No72c265.91$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0244955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…b756backed Yes28c250$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes8c249.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7425735%90 W · 167 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e6b…4ca1backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501010%1 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-65.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x33ef…8694backed Yes30c224.83$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4005…36d1backed Yes14c220.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde74…e866backed Yes24c210.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0661…a72ebacked No72c194.78$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.541580%12 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x562f…e46fbacked No73c194.17$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.931457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe59d…dad4backed Yes29c190.9$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.36757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd79c…a0e7backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42a8…81f5backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddf3…a901backed Yes28c175$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f36…4e9cbacked Yes29c174.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb484…341dbacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35fa…c693backed Yes9c166.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.96560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x022e…acc0backed Yes25c164.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fc1…0c67backed Yes9c163.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.68425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-53.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43bf…0dd3backed Yes30c148.2$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.46911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick41cpaid-74.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec40…f0abbacked No73c146.84$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.651353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6df…e674backed Yes28c143.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd774…e11fbacked Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6294…689bbacked Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24cb…5921backed No73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.993100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd1…070dbacked Yes30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked No70c132$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.63076.7%23 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92d0…269ebacked Yes11c120$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa19…fb67backed No71c118$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.224647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb25e…39aabacked No74c114$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1180…b0d6backed Yes9c111.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dbf…784abacked Yes30c110$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeec4…e6a5backed No71c108.46$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.451758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e1…d431backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-67.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012230.3%37 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed No72c107$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.234242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+403.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd025…1c54backed No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2912546.4%58 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e20…5e20backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes27c99.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277136.6%26 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x59c3…8a2dbacked Yes28c95.29$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…ac98backed Yes29c90.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc86b…81e6backed No72c89$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.924100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd62b…6a51backed Yes28c84.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a43…9b60backed Yes26c84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-51.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No71c77.42$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.459952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8225…9b8abacked Yes28c76.93$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.541010%1 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+195.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb018…8f4bbacked Yes29c76.1$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.071353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9842…d97abacked Yes28c75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a47…a16abacked No73c72.6$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1024…8fd1backed Yes29c72.41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2140%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bcc…9338backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbc…176bbacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202948.3%14 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+38.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.