Premier League · resolved market
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x067664e507fba52bdccc35ae31289240bc076a93e397b8ac1fe8d68f51c48860
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 32c | 9,906$3,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,170 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 67c | 8,277$5,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.39 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 31c | 5,690$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.3 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 35c | 4,027$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.25 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 69c | 3,759$2,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.61 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 36c | 3,261$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.85 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 75c | 1,964$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.34 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 66c | 1,780$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.89 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 77c | 1,605$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.53 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 66c | 1,516$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.36 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 68c | 1,223$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.71 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93f…a0eebacked Yes | 12c | 1,213$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked No | 69c | 1,159$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.29 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Yes | 31c | 1,130$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc814…dc7cbacked No | 68c | 1,074$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 32c | 1,068$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked No | 77c | 882.39$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.69 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 72c | 800$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.92 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…f2f9backed Yes | 33c | 750$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 77c | 707.61$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.55 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 32c | 632$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.61 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x139f…04d5backed Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…9fd9backed Yes | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 63c | 397.94$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.24 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed No | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…d960backed Yes | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 33c | 313$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.19 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 68c | 312.5$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 68c | 295$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…a524backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…6ce4backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad01…0400backed No | 79c | 231.2$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 63c | 200.54$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdb…ecd5backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Yes | 36c | 156.58$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…0d0fbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 37c | 136.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7b…ea70backed Yes | 32c | 126.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 68c | 126$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Yes | 36c | 122.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 32c | 117.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes | 31c | 95.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Yes | 31c | 92.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d90…d769backed No | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf80f…428fbacked Yes | 18c | 83.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d03…4366backed No | 69c | 76.09$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…fcd9backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +150.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…47a0backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4a…bed1backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x498d…663ebacked Yes | 33c | 51.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…ef65backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 67c | 44.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes | 33c | 39.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf044…27cabacked Yes | 36c | 38.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 33c | 37.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…d8cebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 35cpaid | -84%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…f0abbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…4298backed No | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-11?this page
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-11?Yes won
- Will Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.