Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2af6d91917694bdaa60b23fe512fc63a1da9fa7e6d50081aaf5b62bf9fa859d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cf5…ab60backed No | 58c | 41,000$23,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,780 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd180…0c89backed Yes | 42c | 40,300$16,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,374 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…36c8backed No | 58c | 31,287$18,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,146.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b9…8d7fbacked Yes | 42c | 30,387$12,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,624.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 41c | 7,830$3,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,631.09 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 75c | 4,994$3,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.29 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 59c | 3,699$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.41 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 42c | 3,016$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.48 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 57c | 2,692$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.36 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 50c | 2,189$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.73 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 56c | 2,049$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.65 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cd…3be3backed Yes | 42c | 1,811$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 58c | 1,234$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.72 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 43c | 1,158$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.23 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes | 44c | 1,137$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.96 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes | 43c | 1,136$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.52 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…d960backed No | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 38c | 620.17$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.51 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 65c | 509.54$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.89 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 58c | 499.98$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 58c | 484$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.44 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 60c | 447.63$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.58 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 64c | 400$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 74c | 286.7$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.54 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a3…6ed8backed Yes | 46c | 270.49$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x139f…04d5backed Yes | 74c | 262.13$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed No | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…4942backed Yes | 42c | 214.29$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.29 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9537…dc8fbacked No | 59c | 211$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…b091backed No | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 50c | 184.52$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.03 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 70c | 141.61$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 45c | 127.59$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.81 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 57c | 125$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2084…76bebacked Yes | 46c | 119.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…a058backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes | 46c | 96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 68c | 90$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 49c | 88.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3539…b17bbacked Yes | 71c | 85.89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf28…d365backed No | 58c | 85.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 59c | 85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Yes | 42c | 81.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…60a3backed No | 58c | 81.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…f71abacked Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…c416backed No | 57c | 54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…bd1bbacked Yes | 43c | 54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccba…0ce8backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4a…bed1backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9415…cb92backed Yes | 43c | 48.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe98f…a7b9backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked No | 63c | 42.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes | 40c | 39.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f6…3784backed Yes | 45c | 37.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed No | 59c | 34.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad01…0400backed Yes | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-11?this page
- Will Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?No won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.