Premier League · resolved market
Will Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b25ff7dcde8ebe9bb9a538998826f9c9a282f3e91fbbef452809bcf348605d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Yes | 27c | 39,403$10,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,755.1 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 73c | 25,004$18,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,751 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…1499backed Yes | 26c | 9,999$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…819ebacked No | 74c | 9,999$7,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 72c | 5,347$3,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.75 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 73c | 2,422$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.9 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 72c | 2,333$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.19 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Yes | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 27c | 1,824$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8050…49ffbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 71c | 949$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.77 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 27c | 924.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.51 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 72c | 799.65$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.15 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…a5b0backed No | 75c | 755$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 72c | 645.1$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.26 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 73c | 601.69$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.46 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Yes | 25c | 570.71$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 26c | 497.2$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.27 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 25c | 381.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.97 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 72c | 358$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.24 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 33c | 307.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 73c | 272$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…07c3backed No | 75c | 245$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…a6e7backed Yes | 27c | 226.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 72c | 223.12$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.53 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…b091backed No | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 73c | 136$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 27c | 130.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 73c | 127.4$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…a2f6backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdb…ecd5backed Yes | 33c | 90.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb33…ef60backed No | 75c | 82.6$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…e408backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423b…0972backed No | 74c | 73.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…ad4fbacked No | 75c | 68.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccba…0ce8backed Yes | 22c | 55.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked No | 73c | 54.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 73c | 51.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed No | 74c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes | 26c | 39.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 73c | 32.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…5329backed No | 74c | 28.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 74c | 22.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec78…b334backed No | 75c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?this page
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-11?Yes won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.