NBA · resolved market
Will Tyrese Haliburton score 21+ points against the Knicks?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9423a4a286d4ba3ee4a36adeceb144ea96ea243f5b8d1ab348d2b92fe496a04e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 55c | 19,994$10,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,998.69 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed No | 45c | 11,376$5,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,119.23 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…ad70backed No | 11c | 4,278$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 45c | 4,121$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.49 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.99 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 54c | 2,743$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.59 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd621…bc07backed No | 49c | 1,000$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcd…165cbacked Yes | 52c | 691.15$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yes | 52c | 404.31$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.07 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed No | 45c | 332.82$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.16 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 55c | 292$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.4 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 50c | 264$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b5…4edbbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 45c | 151.85$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 45c | 151.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Yes | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed No | 46c | 64.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Yes | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 317 | 48.9%155 W · 162 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…784abacked Yes | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…0d0fbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x575e…5b86backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 356 | 60.4%215 W · 141 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.