TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Spain beat Netherlands?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,811
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,595

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,811 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2863…0e3ebacked No57c5,482$3,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ed0…77f7backed Yes43c3,556$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,537.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No56c2,684$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.928133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No58c2,469$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.4816244.4%72 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes63c1,660$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.511040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes42c1,443$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010431.7%33 W · 71 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No60c1,376$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.9917345.7%79 W · 94 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8773…302fbacked Yes43c1,150$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.51330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes35c1,149$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.895251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes44c1,115$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.811241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No57c1,050$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.291656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes41c967.04$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002520%5 W · 20 L-6.7wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-61.6%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x0b1e…8bf1backed No59c958.8$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ba4…dd66backed Yes41c958.8$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf86d…ac82backed Yes43c950$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+55.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc5a…72c2backed Yes65c923.08$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes42c712.82$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.388949.4%44 W · 45 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No57c593.54$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.81955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes43c531.91$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.728855.7%49 W · 39 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x81f3…1c9ebacked Yes39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22011137.8%42 W · 69 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Yes64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201080%8 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No64c479.98$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.7910748.6%52 W · 55 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe483…b5a0backed Yes43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes44c409.09$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd7…70bcbacked No58c390$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No56c320$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.842352%220 W · 203 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No57c299.99$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.998556.5%48 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…01ddbacked Yes36c290.08$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No57c276.79$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.0210548.6%51 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x7e00…c7dcbacked Yes42c255$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6265…90f4backed Yes43c240.62$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006229%18 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No58c229.89$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7111259.8%67 W · 45 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x588c…e4eebacked Yes42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe28a…c7ddbacked Yes42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc455…3142backed Yes43c190$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc15d…be4abacked Yes42c185$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabe3…8b39backed No58c175$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfb…61f0backed No58c170$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d38…1125backed Yes42c170$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes43c162.79$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-74.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4839…43b5backed Yes42c160$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6516…21fcbacked Yes42c160$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8d6…488abacked Yes42c160$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd9…8a3dbacked Yes42c160$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef9…c97bbacked No57c155$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b83…970dbacked No57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2fa…4d49backed Yes42c148.89$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e5…7bd5backed No58c130$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e17…0f91backed No58c130$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb134…3e8abacked No58c125$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1036038.1%137 W · 223 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x783d…362bbacked Yes42c125$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e92…77d2backed No58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71b2…712bbacked No58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fa4…7983backed Yes42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43fe…d3d1backed Yes42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93c6…d8a5backed No58c115$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+135.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3842…f0b4backed No58c115$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed0…235abacked No58c110$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e98…0009backed No58c105$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60b6…e625backed No58c105$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd26a…9325backed No58c105$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe0…511dbacked No57c105$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x577e…ab13backed Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424930.6%15 W · 34 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.44per pick43cpaid+154.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x08d0…b768backed No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…e8c0backed Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2563…f528backed No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402737%10 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x145a…5194backed Yes42c85$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No56c84.65$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.235848.3%173 W · 185 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf52b…ff3fbacked Yes42c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x761a…e47abacked Yes42c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb538…f1d1backed Yes42c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90f7…1643backed Yes44c77.8$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04f8…8b2ebacked Yes41c77.27$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c7…820bbacked No58c75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x699c…b7debacked Yes44c70.82$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.16560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+58.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8332…7c18backed No58c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dca…9130backed No58c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb962…6985backed Yes42c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b2…0d0fbacked Yes43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd09…6f2cbacked No58c65$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdc0…c4cebacked No57c65$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1eb…933cbacked Yes43c65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x523f…ebe9backed Yes42c65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b83…e97abacked Yes40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e40…7475backed Yes43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d2…7f19backed Yes42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f9…004dbacked Yes43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd69a…81eabacked Yes42c55.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.09425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4de3…2e8ebacked Yes42c55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2d2…67b4backed Yes43c55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.