Fifa International · resolved market
Will Netherlands beat Spain?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd143fcefa23877da6e9c394599a0218c5db6b7fefde374bcb722a331456a6ea0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a69…a466backed No | 70c | 14,801$10,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,440.09 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Yes | 30c | 14,215$4,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,264.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 30c | 4,592$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.38 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 70c | 3,000$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.99 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd022…eefdbacked No | 70c | 1,372$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…7df8backed No | 70c | 1,153$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 57c | 961.67$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.89 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 65c | 923.46$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked No | 74c | 750$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.44per pick | 43cpaid | +154.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 31c | 736.78$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.65 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cc…de2dbacked Yes | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 33c | 700$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 32c | 675.68$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.97 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 30c | 638.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.7 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…6929backed Yes | 30c | 607.63$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 30c | 566.67$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 28c | 414.38$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.38 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 72c | 379.17$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.17 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed No | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 7c | 324.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +296.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…ac82backed No | 43c | 297.82$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 68c | 264$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac7…9ab1backed Yes | 29c | 260$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc739…216bbacked Yes | 29c | 240$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 29c | 230.26$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 71c | 203.45$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.89 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa609…0529backed No | 71c | 162.44$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 35c | 146.66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…47e9backed No | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d5…dc75backed No | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 70c | 116.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…42b4backed No | 45c | 107.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb895…ffe4backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…7cbebacked No | 71c | 95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 33c | 93.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…4942backed Yes | 34c | 84.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b08…1bcebacked No | 71c | 78.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb47…bfccbacked No | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 68c | 66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 30c | 50.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 67c | 33.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Yes | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe209…536dbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…dcc7backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…f02dbacked No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a83…e78ebacked No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -8.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Netherlands beat Spain?this page
- Will Spain beat Netherlands?No won
- Will Spain vs. Netherlands end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.