TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x90f7…1643

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst World Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST2250%11 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+75.4%+$12.44
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$27.18
Kings vs. Pacersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.98
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.55
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.06
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.97
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.78
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+348.7%+$48.82
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$10.64
Kings vs. Sunsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.29
Raptors vs. Jazzbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$9.05
Cavaliers vs. Grizzliesbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$9.05
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.6
Nets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+78.6%+$10.46
Thunder vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+212.5%+$21.25
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$11.08
Will Brentford win on 2025-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+100%+$20.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+92.3%+$43.2
Will Real Madrid Beat Real Betis?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yoon reinstated as President before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.66
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+203%+$60.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+173%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nothing Ever Happens backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+173%+$73.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toledo vs. Louisvillebacked Toledo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain beat Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.