Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77503609986845d078697b91990277054a512f9ca9c05193a705b8e6affee5dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 3c | 15,162$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.98 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked No | 7c | 13,022$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.62 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked No | 10c | 8,053$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.25 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…18acbacked No | 1c | 7,176$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 9c | 7,146$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.31 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…4b0abacked No | 11c | 3,899$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.28 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb71a…6fc9backed No | 31c | 3,483$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.89 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…78fcbacked No | 37c | 2,849$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.81 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…1e9bbacked No | 4c | 2,500$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.67 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 4c | 2,222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…4f7fbacked Yes | 72c | 2,025$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed No | 2c | 1,634$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 5c | 1,324$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked No | 21c | 1,207$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.1 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked No | 25c | 1,160$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.02 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…e8b8backed Yes | 65c | 1,090$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.4 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 4c | 1,070$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd3…ef31backed No | 4c | 1,027$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7024…4c4cbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…1495backed Yes | 77c | 838.09$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6426…bb53backed Yes | 65c | 826.07$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…03ccbacked No | 38c | 784.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed No | 23c | 721.36$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.87 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked No | 16c | 639.38$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.62 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bd19backed No | 6c | 605.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed No | 21c | 566.56$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.61 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 64c | 554.99$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.69 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked No | 11c | 543.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…bd78backed No | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 79c | 499$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.66 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 70c | 444.15$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.36 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…5afdbacked Yes | 62c | 440$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.08 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…1643backed No | 3c | 427.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 68c | 414.72$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.42 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked No | 11c | 395.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…f5adbacked Yes | 77c | 388.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…bd62backed No | 8c | 358.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf599…2cbabacked No | 6c | 329.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 3c | 322$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…adbebacked No | 34c | 299.86$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.44 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 31c | 296$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.03 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f85…9adcbacked No | 4c | 292.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0590…256bbacked No | 37c | 265.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4be8…e00abacked No | 16c | 260.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 20c | 252.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked No | 29c | 251.89$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 56c | 217.54$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.76 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed No | 7c | 186.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…7eb0backed No | 28c | 184.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb8…7c0fbacked No | 33c | 156.19$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe837…739fbacked No | 51c | 153.76$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af4…89b4backed No | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8cc3backed No | 33c | 147.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0d…d3eebacked No | 26c | 141.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…154bbacked No | 34c | 140$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5629…64bebacked No | 16c | 133$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1836…db98backed Yes | 73c | 128.44$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 75c | 125.78$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 138 | 18.1%25 W · 113 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 68c | 125.73$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…51d7backed Yes | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…d04ebacked Yes | 70c | 114.28$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…1dafbacked No | 15c | 113.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cf…5697backed No | 17c | 102.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c49…ee5dbacked No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…0213backed Yes | 63c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked Yes | 66c | 85.89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -17.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcab3…4288backed No | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +146.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63d…7c74backed Yes | 69c | 79.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1501…6623backed No | 31c | 79.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…10b4backed No | 30c | 74.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed No | 34c | 59.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdf…3b40backed No | 32c | 59.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb090…14c7backed No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa743…6a3ebacked Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…e885backed Yes | 70c | 49.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc30c…6509backed No | 48c | 47.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +720.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ed…5707backed No | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…05a0backed No | 35c | 42.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes | 78c | 40.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…f086backed Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38cd…a557backed Yes | 64c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397a…4d70backed No | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a67…a78ebacked Yes | 61c | 36.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 66c | 34.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a0…4e12backed No | 36c | 29.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff71…74bfbacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…49e3backed Yes | 68c | 26.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb919…5213backed Yes | 55c | 26.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3b72backed Yes | 66c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16a…3c93backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…0703backed Yes | 62c | 18.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.