World Politics · resolved market
Yoon reinstated as President before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b66945981d5d95d7bd7e0ef4cd4e45ba62027d46707c56a6b345a6fec59e41f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,665,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,900,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,665,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 585 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8861…eed6backed No | 61c | 980,000$601,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378,253.49 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…2c56backed Yes | 36c | 668,531$241,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241,492.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…cc0bbacked Yes | 39c | 583,606$228,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228,629.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7071…1671backed Yes | 43c | 501,719$215,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215,786.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed No | 54c | 229,280$123,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,290.14 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e82…b85cbacked No | 62c | 183,367$114,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,185.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…5d44backed No | 60c | 178,810$108,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,784.32 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…f088backed Yes | 35c | 173,880$60,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,475.28 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e7…ef20backed Yes | 43c | 161,278$69,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,484.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…4d4dbacked No | 62c | 154,654$96,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,308.66 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a0…1de0backed No | 63c | 147,633$93,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,899.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6130…144abacked No | 56c | 133,073$74,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,851.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…ab0ebacked No | 62c | 122,369$75,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,892.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6142…dc66backed No | 65c | 119,527$77,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,038.49 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…1e71backed Yes | 42c | 116,754$49,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,129.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2644…daecbacked Yes | 39c | 110,664$43,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,126.21 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1859…fc9cbacked Yes | 42c | 110,558$45,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,940.78 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab55…df2abacked Yes | 40c | 104,038$41,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,322.84 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…fdc5backed Yes | 38c | 101,655$38,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,628.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc48e…2c02backed No | 62c | 101,655$63,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,628.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e3…67ffbacked No | 74c | 90,000$66,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,794.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 77cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5e…7f28backed No | 62c | 86,670$53,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,883.16 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7a…ef68backed Yes | 35c | 86,079$30,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,127.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…06a3backed No | 65c | 86,075$55,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,126.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…5a28backed No | 65c | 80,616$52,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,199.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 61c | 78,409$47,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,497.69 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked No | 60c | 75,488$45,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,369.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a95…6a76backed No | 63c | 72,159$45,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,962.28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a01…ae2abacked Yes | 29c | 66,622$19,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,199.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 51c | 65,661$33,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,082.06 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 78c | 61,369$47,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,659.02 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed No | 63c | 60,702$38,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,601.88 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f92bbacked Yes | 50c | 55,602$27,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,734.58 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -72%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked No | 66c | 55,481$36,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,701.76 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 61c | 53,334$32,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,834.84 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…9558backed No | 70c | 48,595$34,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,510.83 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0b…16e4backed Yes | 37c | 46,910$17,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,387.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9674backed No | 63c | 45,032$28,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,742.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…8d51backed Yes | 40c | 43,590$17,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,546.65 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…e54ebacked Yes | 34c | 41,960$14,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,417.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd80…7e2cbacked No | 56c | 41,126$23,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,914.45 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x190c…2f0bbacked Yes | 49c | 41,098$20,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,117.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 34c | 38,581$13,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,069.47 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ee…fdddbacked No | 64c | 35,266$22,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,575.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 68c | 35,000$23,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,058.91 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…ac84backed No | 63c | 33,875$21,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,533.68 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 25c | 33,795$8,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,574.82 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +194.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Yes | 34c | 33,217$11,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,184.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x305d…54afbacked Yes | 44c | 33,000$14,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,389.18 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x173c…bf6fbacked Yes | 41c | 32,418$13,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,158.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…b979backed No | 63c | 32,301$20,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,792.31 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 25cpaid | +274.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…aaa1backed Yes | 3c | 30,794$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.82 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…833dbacked Yes | 38c | 30,351$11,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,584.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5738…9dddbacked Yes | 59c | 29,838$17,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,714.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +61%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec2…44c5backed Yes | 49c | 28,971$14,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,176.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 30cpaid | +169.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 63c | 28,669$18,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,536.58 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68c…f3e9backed Yes | 46c | 27,466$12,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,584.66 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecea…889abacked No | 58c | 27,198$15,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,298.62 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3c…b218backed Yes | 37c | 25,342$9,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,262.78 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 66c | 24,637$16,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,465.01 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfed…df12backed Yes | 27c | 24,405$6,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,617.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked No | 49c | 24,336$11,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,367.65 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…8ba9backed No | 65c | 23,904$15,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,409.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +131.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5983…64a8backed No | 60c | 21,000$12,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,359.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 63c | 21,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,799.99 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7884…447abacked No | 68c | 20,583$14,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,556.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9edb…9f05backed No | 67c | 20,452$13,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,686.18 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bc…504abacked No | 57c | 20,018$11,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,569.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c21…d2febacked No | 59c | 19,613$11,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,968.84 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a3…7921backed No | 58c | 18,695$10,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,923.49 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf431…4853backed Yes | 31c | 18,495$5,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,714.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…fc58backed Yes | 55c | 18,149$10,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,011.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2d…e0f8backed Yes | 38c | 17,488$6,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,588.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked No | 55c | 17,425$9,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,806.68 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…067bbacked No | 59c | 17,335$10,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,093.99 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x305c…dc57backed No | 71c | 17,000$12,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,889.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 57c | 17,000$9,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,309.99 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 60c | 16,928$10,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,746.14 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Yes | 37c | 16,580$6,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,134.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…d560backed No | 66c | 16,577$10,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.28 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9297…e0ccbacked Yes | 25c | 16,278$4,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,084.97 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 42c | 16,208$6,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,743.32 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 60c | 15,897$9,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,331.2 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ab…a84dbacked Yes | 25c | 15,856$3,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,911.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6091…972bbacked No | 60c | 14,682$8,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,872.67 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 57c | 14,302$8,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,099.29 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab5…ba4abacked Yes | 29c | 13,959$4,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,035.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed No | 67c | 13,351$8,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,446.18 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc370…98ebbacked Yes | 36c | 13,265$4,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,737.92 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 59c | 13,110$7,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,318.4 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1077…0722backed Yes | 35c | 13,063$4,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,624.3 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…3923backed Yes | 27c | 12,538$3,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,415.91 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…4a1abacked No | 55c | 12,199$6,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,489.64 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa934…c6fabacked Yes | 34c | 11,463$3,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,854.01 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…22c8backed Yes | 39c | 11,367$4,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,433.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdb…7358backed No | 48c | 11,300$5,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,877.76 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde8e…a744backed Yes | 14c | 11,244$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 74c | 11,219$8,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,888.59 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaf…796dbacked Yes | 35c | 11,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…ce9dbacked No | 70c | 10,319$7,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.09 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.