TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Suns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Rockets, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$744,061
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$826,054

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $744,061 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 905 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa75e…96ebbacked Suns46c115,289$53,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,495.61875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+29.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Suns23c49,579$11,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,257.463,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Rockets55c49,283$27,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,001.6347848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Suns5c27,029$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.1322049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3862…38a0backed Suns6c26,378$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.67540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets53c25,000$13,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,649.9896447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Suns1c23,340$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.419149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Rockets76c21,053$16,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,982.7628347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rockets54c20,155$10,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,179.6866853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Rockets80c15,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…77bfbacked Suns45c15,000$6,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,694.581947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Suns44c12,874$5,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,618.6433931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xae97…7eabbacked Suns0c12,124$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3780%0 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2b8…5ce5backed Rockets65c11,000$7,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8803961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rockets55c9,515$5,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,281.6949849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Rockets56c9,092$5,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9751,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7239…6591backed Suns44c8,999$3,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,930.523636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Rockets57c8,972$5,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,902.1425865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x255c…7979backed Rockets56c6,995$3,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,077.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68c6…ff04backed Rockets58c6,994$4,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,960.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ca…302cbacked Rockets55c6,850$3,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,063.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Suns6c6,672$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.670153.5%375 W · 326 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94ac…dc60backed Rockets55c6,655$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,994.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Rockets56c6,357$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,807.1410533.3%35 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Rockets69c6,329$4,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.4566744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Suns34c6,206$2,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.4930826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Rockets78c6,075$4,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.5636748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Rockets57c5,918$3,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,544.1828341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Suns22c5,738$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.2214034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Suns41c5,567$2,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,308.3326431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Rockets56c5,398$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,398.0310541%43 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Suns0c5,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.753350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Suns20c4,665$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.4229957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Rockets72c4,167$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.1627163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockets54c4,102$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.011,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Suns43c3,508$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.8762351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Suns13c3,453$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.7370640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Rockets54c3,080$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,416.7656945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Rockets53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41019152.4%100 W · 91 L+16.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Suns1c2,700$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.38783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7967…f4a0backed Rockets56c2,700$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1986250%31 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a26…410ebacked Rockets56c2,680$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.332653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rockets61c2,674$1,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.855,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Suns1c2,392$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.687502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032d…9d82backed Suns44c2,368$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb000…9c93backed Suns44c2,358$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe712…48d1backed Suns45c2,327$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf72…ccd9backed Suns45c2,324$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9713…8eebbacked Suns44c2,321$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2bc…a3aabacked Suns44c2,305$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6780…5e6fbacked Suns46c2,293$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0857…f3ebbacked Suns45c2,290$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb98…1549backed Suns45c2,279$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6265…c502backed Suns46c2,238$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cbb…dc9cbacked Suns46c2,222$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf64b…39b8backed Suns46c2,211$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Suns43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8601,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Suns1c2,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.34573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Suns3c2,000$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3838845.9%178 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Rockets54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9203158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb006…4eb8backed Suns46c1,998$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-50.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb34d…ef8bbacked Rockets57c1,946$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.761752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Rockets55c1,840$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.4245743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Rockets66c1,827$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.988962.9%56 W · 33 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae00…f7b0backed Rockets55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.187864.1%50 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Rockets57c1,775$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.348046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Rockets57c1,755$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.773455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Suns25c1,642$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.747229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Rockets71c1,588$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.930061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6906,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Suns45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67540627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Rockets55c1,457$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.5773647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Rockets56c1,339$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.2929643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Suns41c1,307$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.7188053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Rockets55c1,300$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58529635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Suns15c1,200$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1741,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed Suns44c1,183$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.397143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Rockets55c1,150$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.516563.6%105 W · 60 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x000f…fa77backed Rockets57c1,144$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.122669.2%18 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fdf…8573backed Suns45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Suns45c1,064$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.7220238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Suns44c1,040$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.8837734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Suns49c1,015$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.228142%34 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Suns1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Rockets77c1,000$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23223658.1%137 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2010…1fc9backed Suns19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Rockets55c999.9$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.971,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Suns22c929.67$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.141,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b58…7273backed Rockets71c923.41$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.791650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Suns7c900$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5937831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x394c…7654backed Rockets56c900$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc90b…b81abacked Suns44c900$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Rockets56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8620756%116 W · 91 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Suns1c881.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.645502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Rockets56c874.31$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.3119944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf901…51d3backed Suns44c818.18$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3607230.6%22 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Rockets71c800$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.81,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Suns43c738$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.3477745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Suns44c734.09$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32320153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Rockets56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2641,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.