NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae8c26cf303b174747760359c9330386d4f9831de70369ab503d37cd3e37ba81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Kings, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $612,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $603,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $612,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 759 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ce8…3bd3backed Kings | 1c | 72,120$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.15 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Nuggets | 54c | 54,076$29,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,910.13 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Nuggets | 71c | 39,145$27,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,450.57 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Kings | 41c | 28,207$11,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,650.93 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Nuggets | 58c | 22,518$13,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,445.7 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 44c | 16,586$7,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,338.07 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Kings | 36c | 15,000$5,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,424.65 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Kings | 40c | 14,954$5,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,989.57 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Nuggets | 62c | 11,944$7,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,597.8 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Kings | 33c | 11,659$3,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,793.17 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x913a…4689backed Nuggets | 76c | 10,760$8,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nuggets | 63c | 10,000$6,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650.98 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Nuggets | 78c | 6,420$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.4 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Kings | 63c | 6,218$3,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,897.01 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Kings | 51c | 6,000$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,089.98 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69fb…1ccdbacked Kings | 24c | 5,810$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Kings | 31c | 5,560$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.5 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Nuggets | 69c | 5,465$3,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.5 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…91debacked Kings | 24c | 4,960$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Kings | 61c | 4,388$2,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.37 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Kings | 39c | 3,493$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.24 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Nuggets | 70c | 3,371$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.03 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…edbfbacked Nuggets | 48c | 3,309$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.26 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Kings | 38c | 3,288$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.26 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 66c | 3,134$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.62 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Nuggets | 55c | 3,031$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.73 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Nuggets | 75c | 2,823$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.43 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Kings | 57c | 2,794$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.7 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Nuggets | 68c | 2,793$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.17 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kings | 58c | 2,730$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.87 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Kings | 33c | 2,661$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.8 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d2…cfb1backed Kings | 67c | 2,217$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.97 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,200$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8d…ccb3backed Nuggets | 67c | 2,123$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 38c | 2,110$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.94 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Kings | 28c | 2,083$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.24 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Nuggets | 64c | 2,036$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.58 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nuggets | 67c | 2,000$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.17 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Nuggets | 72c | 1,939$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.84 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,904$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.54 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Nuggets | 55c | 1,822$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.73 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…2a17backed Kings | 20c | 1,798$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.61 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 43c | 1,733$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.11 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccab…cb62backed Kings | 21c | 1,586$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Kings | 33c | 1,566$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.42 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…b955backed Nuggets | 67c | 1,503$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…164ebacked Kings | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d5…3926backed Nuggets | 69c | 1,491$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…cd8cbacked Kings | 31c | 1,490$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Kings | 44c | 1,432$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.33 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…5be0backed Nuggets | 70c | 1,425$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Nuggets | 71c | 1,417$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.24 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2981…d5bebacked Nuggets | 71c | 1,410$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.4 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…9f20backed Nuggets | 71c | 1,335$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.15 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…db6abacked Nuggets | 51c | 1,205$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Kings | 24c | 1,122$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.39 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Nuggets | 71c | 1,027$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.13 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Kings | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Kings | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Kings | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Kings | 30c | 999.81$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked Nuggets | 67c | 991.37$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.66 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd596…17b9backed Nuggets | 36c | 985.05$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Nuggets | 67c | 969.1$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.68 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Kings | 52c | 956$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.12 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…261fbacked Kings | 32c | 908.21$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.56 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…3e17backed Nuggets | 50c | 899.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Kings | 5c | 865.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Kings | 46c | 859.47$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.29 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Kings | 36c | 803.03$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.23 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Kings | 28c | 799.99$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.99 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Kings | 32c | 750$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Kings | 34c | 750$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Nuggets | 70c | 741.73$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.73 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Nuggets | 72c | 736$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.2 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Kings | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…319bbacked Kings | 34c | 723.53$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd4…8a90backed Kings | 34c | 705.06$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf3…326bbacked Nuggets | 46c | 700$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed4a…e79ebacked Kings | 34c | 685.29$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Kings | 28c | 655.65$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.33 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Nuggets | 61c | 655.62$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.55 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Kings | 31c | 643.84$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.79 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Kings | 47c | 632.27$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Kings | 28c | 627.6$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.02 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Kings | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Kings | 43c | 618.14$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.51 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Kings | 40c | 605.05$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.77 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Nuggets | 67c | 600$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.33 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…43f6backed Kings | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Nuggets | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Kings | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fe…c74cbacked Nuggets | 67c | 581$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Nuggets | 69c | 577.88$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.52 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Kings | 22c | 555.37$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Nuggets | 59c | 550$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Nuggets | 41c | 549.99$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Nuggets | 65c | 531.41$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.92 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed Kings | 25c | 519.97$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.