TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-03-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$381,835
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$416,832

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $381,835 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 363 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No33c68,741$22,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,662.6979639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…68dcbacked Yes51c58,825$30,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,824.211050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No50c51,594$25,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,656.259754.6%53 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes50c22,500$11,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,152.633060%18 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4fb…239abacked Yes51c19,659$10,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,632.91475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+31.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No49c16,385$8,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,030.7414659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes50c16,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,00011548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes54c12,736$6,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,875.9818948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae3…21cbbacked No0c12,623$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked No31c10,068$3,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,103.93333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x580e…83c5backed No0c10,033$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x604f…fdeebacked No0c9,648$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No48c8,668$4,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,193.1579650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No47c8,588$4,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,010.1514732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbea0…b942backed No0c8,540$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8330%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e97…395dbacked No0c7,760$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f07…2c21backed No0c7,715$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes51c6,878$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,378.439235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3225…c1c6backed No0c5,717$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No49c5,693$2,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,806.4813547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf64…dc9fbacked No0c5,665$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No42c5,326$2,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,253.4738645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf56c…74d4backed No0c5,120$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.44425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-53.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7239…6591backed Yes51c3,901$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.421457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x466c…fb92backed No51c3,210$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No49c3,197$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.4640046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Yes51c2,829$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.218842%37 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a26…410ebacked Yes51c2,529$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.11952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+71.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No50c2,484$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No49c2,300$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13090751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb826…8d67backed Yes49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.826137.7%23 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02041437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No50c1,973$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.9532158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Yes54c1,639$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.185641.1%23 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87cf…25a4backed Yes51c1,373$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.55742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d6…423fbacked Yes51c1,364$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.532060%12 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eae…f263backed Yes49c1,321$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.79037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes50c1,261$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.558045%36 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f63…67c4backed Yes51c1,169$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-40.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No50c1,135$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.4719735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No49c1,100$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54237054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd89b…3473backed Yes49c1,091$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf3f…a54ebacked Yes50c1,076$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4915…b532backed Yes49c1,027$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46017234.3%59 W · 113 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50014156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No51c989.58$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.5337652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3061…dd00backed Yes51c954.14$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.531338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes50c905.44$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.4412053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24cc…d737backed Yes50c829.75$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.671741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No50c744.99$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.9181559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb20…a151backed No50c614.68$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.045742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes49c611.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.244339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes51c609.8$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.827024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes50c604.08$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.0826054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Yes51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2943253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes52c580.69$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.6932737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9220447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Yes51c549.02$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.021553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd69a…81eabacked Yes52c522.96$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.023935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Yes51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2458453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked No51c489.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.95444.4%24 W · 30 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No50c468.26$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.91,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Yes50c430.67$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.479949.5%49 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed Yes51c412.75$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.258155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1629044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No7c400.01$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2766031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20021153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6a44backed Yes50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2007350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf745…d12cbacked Yes50c398.38$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.19742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes51c392.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.259938.4%38 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1611855.1%65 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.625358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d5…fe48backed Yes49c370$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.7333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfceb…37dabacked Yes50c329.18$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.591850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed No50c313.16$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.359756.7%55 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2fa…4d49backed Yes51c312.68$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.736350.8%32 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14732736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502564%16 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ef8…f0c0backed No49c298$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+31.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8706…2fa5backed No49c297$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf5a…fb02backed No49c296$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700a…06bebacked No49c295$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+31.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No51c294.47$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9940135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5767…a845backed No49c294$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d2f…09afbacked No49c294$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94c…ac0ebacked No49c292$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+31.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x58ba…9cd2backed No49c291$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0f…138cbacked No49c287$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ec…06babacked No49c284$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x866a…2564backed No49c281$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e11…05c7backed No49c280$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+31.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb3dd…f65abacked No49c280$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd8…2fd2backed No49c278$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c42…9ce3backed Yes50c278$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1403551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Yes50c276.7$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.353351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc488…cf6ebacked No49c275$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4687…fa78backed No49c275$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.