Premier League · resolved market
Will Ipswich vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ba72dac61b7feefb2809cb8fbf0bead60197d35655d4efb9bf18b2737d54dd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 1c | 50,627$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.27 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 27c | 2,602$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.58 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…45b7backed Yes | 4c | 1,132$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 73c | 857.64$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.56 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 28c | 817.49$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed No | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a27…0e7bbacked No | 74c | 472.97$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 73c | 340$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 73c | 322.33$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.03 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 27c | 296.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…7dccbacked Yes | 26c | 279.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 26c | 252.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.61 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 71c | 221.38$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed No | 74c | 199.74$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 27c | 161.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 26c | 140$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…f10ebacked No | 74c | 136$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a7…6a2abacked Yes | 37c | 135.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20fa…5ed9backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…1187backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 74c | 97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b5…82b2backed Yes | 27c | 62.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7e…cee2backed No | 74c | 62.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 73c | 48.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2684…d3d6backed Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked No | 74c | 41.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7f…186abacked No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 56cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…0dfabacked No | 74c | 28.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…1f8ebacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ipswich vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?this page
- Will Ipswich win on 2025-03-15?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-03-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.