TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Ipswich win on 2025-03-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,006
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,645

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,006 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5314…910cbacked Yes24c40,382$9,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,591.629754.6%53 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed No76c26,305$19,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,346.994766%31 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a69…a466backed No77c23,869$18,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,598.771464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa152…3b6fbacked Yes0c16,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes24c10,264$2,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,507.1568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes23c5,850$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.4179650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Yes4c5,219$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.3314732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7502…beafbacked No77c4,124$3,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.021764.7%11 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick71cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes1c2,195$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes23c2,133$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.7779639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes23c1,262$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.519735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes25c1,040$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26024630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed No77c893.49$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.53262.5%20 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes25c750$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18640135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No75c742.31$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18690751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes23c635.06$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.640640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Yes23c566.05$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.521445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked No75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12511761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed No78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1108453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked No76c499.98$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12021153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Yes25c434.35$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.596346%29 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed No77c393.06$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.46167.2%41 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c20…2256backed No77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.611250%6 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x132f…890dbacked No76c249.2$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49bd…372abacked Yes24c249.2$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+48.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd7f…186abacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.33per pick56cpaid-70.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes24c190$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.715726.8%42 W · 115 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No76c173.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8152060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Yes24c145.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3516955.6%94 W · 75 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7592…b5cbbacked No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.582867.9%19 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdb8…af02backed No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.582142.9%9 W · 12 L-4.4wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8729653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8742862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed No78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b1e…8bf1backed No76c124.6$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2487…6530backed Yes24c124.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c6…c80dbacked Yes24c120$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fa9…7576backed No76c120$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5918…e34fbacked Yes24c120$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0790…beccbacked No76c120$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b9d…9865backed No77c113.97$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf384…9014backed Yes24c104.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42cb…cd00backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacf9…c596backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe528…6385backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x616f…e996backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+70%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc486…f261backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x524a…cc8abacked Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f57…1a33backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x802b…3983backed Yes24c99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf98c…5d8abacked No76c99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x694b…c8d4backed No76c95$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65a1…95c6backed Yes24c95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe646…6450backed Yes24c90$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6349…095bbacked No76c90$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…8c56backed Yes26c80$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.81435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c96…bb48backed Yes24c80$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6974…b043backed No76c80$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x265e…4070backed Yes24c80$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacf1…81d2backed No76c80$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4410…5b44backed No76c80$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3550…7082backed Yes24c80$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc68c…8880backed No76c79$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x457a…7870backed Yes24c79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac00…27f7backed No76c76$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c5c…d54abacked Yes24c76$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb7d…6b8fbacked Yes24c75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6260…4022backed No76c75$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+70%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7d2…f555backed No77c70$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.118260.4%110 W · 72 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…f0f9backed Yes24c68$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a5c…c82cbacked No76c68$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd8…5ddcbacked Yes24c67.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a05…7afdbacked No75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.672965.5%19 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa386…07e1backed No75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30d8…f9c5backed No77c65.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.974663%29 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9442755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x59f6…b13dbacked No77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcf0…5c64backed No76c62.97$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.111485.7%12 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick76cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc29…9789backed No76c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+117.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7f…ca42backed Yes24c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e0…9948backed Yes24c51.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa66…15bdbacked No76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc97d…88a6backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6173…4258backed Yes23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.55026%13 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0dea…b166backed No76c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd72b…9966backed No76c35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed No75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3314057.9%81 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6153…f958backed No76c32.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d51…f56cbacked No75c31.68$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.92955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc167…4056backed No77c28.57$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.571861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed No77c26.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.126250%31 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb27…20dfbacked No76c25.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.171040%4 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-42%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a67…af26backed No77c23.38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.386266.1%41 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fc9…6710backed No76c22.37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.371070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed1…1240backed No76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.82774.1%20 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.