TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Suns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Kings, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$335,146
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$341,883

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $335,146 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 748 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd2bd…dce0backed Suns60c48,915$29,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,735.2377745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Kings25c40,000$9,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,975.121,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Kings39c15,940$6,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,193.3533931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Kings37c12,119$4,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,484.5427251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ead…cf47backed Suns63c12,024$7,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,417.584050%20 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa47a…fd11backed Suns63c11,057$6,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,120.545261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d4…9f1abacked Kings24c10,268$2,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,467.07425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-58.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Suns62c10,059$6,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,831.6134532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Suns80c10,050$8,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015.529858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Suns62c9,868$6,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,736.7822049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings40c9,579$3,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,820.761,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd200…06b1backed Kings24c7,026$1,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.943348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings0c5,333$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Kings45c5,139$2,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,312.7528241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x310d…b64dbacked Kings41c4,645$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.284330.2%13 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Kings43c4,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70061345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Kings45c3,996$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.250047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Kings3c3,485$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.88783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Kings1c3,189$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011229.5%33 W · 79 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Suns55c3,181$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.55151%26 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Suns55c3,059$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.2596447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Kings42c3,004$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.6276249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Kings15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kings1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Kings42c3,000$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26319944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Kings32c2,938$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.6515741.4%65 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1859…fc9cbacked Kings10c2,469$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.871040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Kings31c2,297$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.4370640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Kings29c2,212$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.051,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Kings5c2,033$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10326124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Kings41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82020047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Kings45c1,941$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.4833752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0712…f71bbacked Suns59c1,859$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.999247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Kings28c1,738$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.8529747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Suns59c1,703$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.78851.1%45 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Suns66c1,591$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.9127163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Suns79c1,536$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.2519164.9%124 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kings41c1,473$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.273051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Kings1c1,400$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.57502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0560…d77dbacked Kings44c1,366$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.416346%29 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Kings41c1,182$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.0961835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d80…219abacked Kings43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007851.3%40 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8269…e438backed Kings41c1,100$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.991040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Kings36c1,100$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.0150245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kings39c1,057$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.0688053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9598…1fd2backed Suns59c1,004$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.64955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Suns55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c95…0a3abacked Kings41c999.93$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.973542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Kings41c990.65$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.1727546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed Suns59c932.13$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.1314051.4%72 W · 68 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Suns56c895.24$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.2493036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Kings40c860$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.651037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Kings42c753.64$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.7585542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Kings41c696.02$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.3745743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Suns59c677.97$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.9729643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Suns66c666$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.4410244.1%45 W · 57 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Suns64c625$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22526640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Kings40c624.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25037734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Suns60c601.72$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.7219038.4%73 W · 117 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff7b…52a8backed Suns66c566.96$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.116747.8%32 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Kings29c557.12$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16019535.4%69 W · 126 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x638e…9bd1backed Suns56c538.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.963060%18 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Kings42c499.37$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.966744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Kings45c495.57$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.9427735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ecb…8bf8backed Suns59c477$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.576100%6 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+136.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6db3…3772backed Suns59c474.39$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick47cpaid+65.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x48e4…f310backed Kings4c473$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.673435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-40.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e37…160fbacked Suns59c472.74$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Suns58c465$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.357760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Kings44c456.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017044.1%75 W · 95 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x132f…890dbacked Kings41c454.33$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.2720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7897…ea9abacked Kings42c445.19$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.983756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fea…4976backed Suns67c444$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.74771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Kings46c429.7$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.4847229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Suns55c404.36$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.9641742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Suns58c400.1$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.0416563.6%105 W · 60 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Suns58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16868642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Suns57c385.7$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.851,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ed…e60abacked Kings19c370$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.315316.3%25 W · 128 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf426…152fbacked Kings42c362.57$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.282161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+44.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Suns57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.881,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bff…331cbacked Suns76c350$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.883542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05ca…50c3backed Kings42c346$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.323850%19 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfb3…e68cbacked Kings47c340.34$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9635050.6%177 W · 173 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Kings44c339.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.62,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf916…e968backed Suns74c339.11$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Suns59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9812759.8%76 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Suns58c312$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.041,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Kings8c305.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2467911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe4…c6a2backed Suns59c303.44$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.414062.5%25 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Kings28c300.91$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7671747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Kings47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Kings40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12030351.8%157 W · 146 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Kings17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5147535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Suns58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12650453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Kings46c286.57$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8224855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99b4…8239backed Kings42c266.71$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.022951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6294…2958backed Suns59c266$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.063554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d2f…64e9backed Suns60c261.51$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.694850%24 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Kings46c260.87$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12023539.1%92 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.