La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Madrid Beat Real Betis?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x660de2764f90f2b52df71a65334895371c34782e189ad877653db3123f27cd2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 46c | 5,079$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.37 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 48c | 3,839$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.74 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff1…cf75backed Yes | 52c | 2,989$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 49c | 2,315$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 50c | 2,227$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 47c | 2,157$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.51 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 54c | 1,854$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…dc53backed Yes | 52c | 1,569$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 48c | 1,277$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.6 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 51c | 1,161$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.31 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 48c | 1,142$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.27 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…9f20backed Yes | 47c | 1,053$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 51c | 1,003$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.2 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 47c | 897.93$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.69 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 51c | 771.24$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.33 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 54c | 675.17$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…d9e5backed Yes | 53c | 674.66$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 52c | 601.85$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 55c | 498.56$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.35 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 47c | 444.68$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.12 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…8efbbacked Yes | 52c | 440.27$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f84…be09backed Yes | 53c | 384.68$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbe…d7e1backed Yes | 52c | 362$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4105…a02bbacked Yes | 54c | 352.57$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…bc89backed Yes | 52c | 292.42$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 52c | 227.94$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.45 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3869…2d67backed Yes | 52c | 209$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b0…afd6backed Yes | 33c | 203.86$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 53c | 196.89$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.35 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc36d…f0efbacked Yes | 52c | 192.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 48c | 191.3$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.79 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 50c | 174.13$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 60c | 167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 21c | 160.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…64adbacked Yes | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…a714backed No | 51c | 131$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…8cc6backed No | 46c | 130.44$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ef…c0f1backed No | 48c | 126.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 49c | 111$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d9…45cabacked Yes | 58c | 101.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…7791backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…8bfbbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…1ab8backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa08f…44d5backed Yes | 58c | 98.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67c…9ad5backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4063…8a24backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fc…64d3backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5329…c169backed Yes | 52c | 90.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1887…d066backed Yes | 45c | 82.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf347…034bbacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed No | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5594…c0b2backed Yes | 50c | 75.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeef…b62ebacked Yes | 45c | 75.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…0f8bbacked Yes | 68c | 71.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92ff…7a3bbacked Yes | 45c | 71.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…73acbacked Yes | 58c | 71.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Yes | 55c | 67.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4e…c452backed Yes | 53c | 57.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed Yes | 76c | 55.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Yes | 53c | 55.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcad9…b0c1backed Yes | 52c | 52.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8b…449bbacked Yes | 54c | 50.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a55…fe8bbacked Yes | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7895…ed15backed Yes | 45c | 47.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574a…a12bbacked Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80b6…58d9backed Yes | 51c | 42.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb5…68f8backed Yes | 53c | 40.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x770a…ef66backed Yes | 45c | 40.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3329…1e95backed Yes | 56c | 40.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb13…f389backed Yes | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2715…b237backed No | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c3…09a6backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…391cbacked Yes | 45c | 36.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…4c9fbacked No | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cec…b19dbacked Yes | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9201…3888backed Yes | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a01…bef5backed No | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdde…c1dfbacked Yes | 52c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8f…1f7abacked Yes | 79c | 33.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9b…eaf6backed Yes | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…50c8backed Yes | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…615dbacked Yes | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…89b8backed No | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf546…de65backed Yes | 79c | 32.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ba…fe6abacked No | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…ebc5backed Yes | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe4…f66dbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfc…b705backed No | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24aa…9396backed Yes | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x894d…0028backed No | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8f…2ca1backed No | 44c | 28.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid Beat Real Betis?this page
- Will Real Betis Beat Real Madrid?Yes won
- Will Real Betis vs. Real Madrid End in a Draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.