La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Betis Beat Real Madrid?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55dc071071fbf3c3d3866f0e8a161c79295ae4746c366d1f946246987afa7bb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 17c | 5,719$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.17 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8864…3ed5backed No | 71c | 1,704$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes | 25c | 1,373$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa414…d03dbacked Yes | 23c | 1,247$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…d100backed Yes | 55c | 530.5$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 77c | 501.47$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 74c | 331.04$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.41 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 75c | 301.36$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.02 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked No | 77c | 90$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 76c | 70$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc27c…cf6abacked Yes | 23c | 69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed No | 71c | 58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0445…e4dfbacked No | 77c | 47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…2f20backed Yes | 25c | 43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 74c | 38.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x280f…60a9backed Yes | 39c | 32.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…c252backed No | 77c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +15.1wins | +0.30per pick | 14cpaid | +663.6%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x0225…843ebacked No | 75c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x603e…116abacked No | 77c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…bcf5backed No | 77c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ed…ccffbacked No | 75c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…2979backed No | 77c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 75c | 15.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Betis Beat Real Madrid?this page
- Will Real Betis vs. Real Madrid End in a Draw?No won
- Will Real Madrid Beat Real Betis?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.