TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$527,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$605,195

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $527,157 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 858 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x067f…e041backed Knicks53c19,999$10,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,299.611,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Knicks78c19,336$15,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,279.7122049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x80a5…f9babacked Kings34c19,118$6,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4202832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e1…77bfbacked Kings42c17,804$7,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,472.321947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Kings1c17,016$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Kings2c14,400$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33631125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Kings16c14,050$2,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,271.8630443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Kings26c13,340$3,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,482.5231935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Kings8c12,000$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Kings0c11,573$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2223554.5%128 W · 107 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings0c10,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Kings2c8,870$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.998783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings34c8,722$2,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,948.393,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Kings25c7,811$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.2626431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Kings24c7,496$1,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,784.0534532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Kings13c7,492$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.1613731.4%43 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b48…55a1backed Knicks78c6,825$5,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,502.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Kings0c6,667$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Knicks58c5,875$3,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,467.6850047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Knicks58c5,232$3,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,197.341,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Kings1c4,619$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3834425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Knicks54c3,975$2,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,830.7320238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x131b…14f6backed Knicks58c3,790$2,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,591.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27c9…9664backed Knicks57c3,722$2,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc72f…e14bbacked Knicks56c3,500$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5401100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Kings43c3,250$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.8717546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Knicks54c3,129$1,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.177647.4%36 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea28…3a0bbacked Knicks67c3,124$2,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.5915638.5%60 W · 96 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x079e…599dbacked Knicks76c2,867$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.111154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed Knicks58c2,829$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.28167.9%55 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Knicks65c2,745$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.4933931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Knicks75c2,511$1,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.275,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Knicks55c2,200$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99030351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Kings48c2,174$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.376249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Kings1c2,172$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.127502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Knicks66c2,100$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72228347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Knicks54c2,091$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.8896447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kings1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Kings44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.7829747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Kings42c1,897$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.749836.7%36 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Knicks54c1,781$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.373051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0712…f71bbacked Knicks57c1,764$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.889247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Knicks58c1,502$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.841145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c40…5f2cbacked Kings42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.991546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Kings45c1,489$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.2461345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Kings1c1,414$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.281,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Knicks54c1,296$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.325865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x467c…6121backed Kings42c1,266$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72fe…2a60backed Kings38c1,266$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.8845647.8%218 W · 238 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x42e0…0578backed Knicks56c1,261$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.7420553.7%110 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x009c…bc8cbacked Kings42c1,261$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf1…58cfbacked Kings45c1,259$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb573…3264backed Kings42c1,250$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8eef…29dbbacked Kings43c1,232$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x292b…3300backed Kings43c1,220$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Knicks55c1,211$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.5827735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Kings43c1,209$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52219944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Kings1c1,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1237627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c93…d494backed Knicks57c1,200$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.951060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed49…435abacked Kings45c1,180$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c35…ba1fbacked Kings45c1,169$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e67…29d7backed Kings45c1,168$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Kings46c1,131$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.0913929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Kings40c1,070$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42966744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Knicks78c1,057$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.5347656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ec…f502backed Kings43c1,030$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.92433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Knicks54c1,028$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.7814563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Kings4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Kings48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Kings43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Knicks57c999.99$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43010058%58 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Knicks60c957.03$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.288053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Knicks59c943.42$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.9319845.5%90 W · 108 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Knicks55c937.2$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.7410246.1%47 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Knicks54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9312752.8%67 W · 60 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Knicks53c919.42$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.1336748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Kings48c915$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.277745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Knicks58c910.64$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.0850245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83f5…b3fdbacked Kings42c904.9$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.061127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4a7…b33abacked Kings35c900$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3152540%10 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Kings12c885.21$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5637011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Kings39c874$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.8619451.5%100 W · 94 L-17.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Knicks80c864.16$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.838521.2%18 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid+33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Knicks58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0720153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed Knicks59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.4614051.4%72 W · 68 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Kings47c820.86$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.262,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Knicks62c810.95$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.9520756%116 W · 91 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Kings42c799.82$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.5661835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Kings44c784.94$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.1818354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings43c760.52$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.751,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Kings7c750$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.510018%18 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Kings26c715$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.3536747.7%175 W · 192 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Kings45c700$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31530251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Kings50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35051037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Kings15c700$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10553134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Knicks57c670.45$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.5117943.6%78 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Knicks79c623.99$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.920447.1%96 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Knicks55c599.98$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.9972341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18e9…fd77backed Kings43c587.78$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011138.7%43 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0560…d77dbacked Knicks53c585$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.956346%29 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.