Champions League · resolved market
Will Bayern Munich win Group C at the FIFA Club World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ec21f8680dcb5771ff3434e881f0710d3a5d4e635b18b5753b0bcee1c5ee667
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3238…3291backed Yes | 80c | 5,326$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 33c | 3,713$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.39 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 20c | 3,057$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.08 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 11c | 2,899$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 22c | 2,504$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.06 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 78c | 2,386$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.73 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf475…8c9ebacked Yes | 61c | 2,304$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa93a…0f5cbacked Yes | 72c | 2,236$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.94 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 79c | 1,910$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.75 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 67c | 1,754$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.04 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 15c | 1,712$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.72 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 17c | 1,600$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.04 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 25c | 1,500$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.94 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed No | 22c | 1,472$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.45 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 18c | 1,312$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.76 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 17c | 1,174$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.99 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 25c | 1,109$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.35 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed No | 31c | 1,066$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.42 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 19c | 1,054$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.64 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 27c | 999.98$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.99 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Yes | 73c | 806.47$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.72 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 13c | 784.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.83 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4541…b128backed Yes | 77c | 779.77$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed No | 30c | 747.66$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Yes | 76c | 739$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…6a22backed Yes | 78c | 600$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked Yes | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.67 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 30c | 495$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.5 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked Yes | 79c | 474.45$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.81 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fbf2backed No | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 19c | 425.25$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.97 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Yes | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 77c | 400$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 24c | 399.93$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.33 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Yes | 80c | 357.14$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.14 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 80c | 341.25$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e69dbacked Yes | 70c | 317.6$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.86 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…c8ebbacked Yes | 74c | 300$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked No | 27c | 279$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.91 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…a81dbacked Yes | 74c | 268.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5125…933abacked Yes | 72c | 268.87$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 28c | 258.44$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.68 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c13…7ab3backed Yes | 67c | 250$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 30c | 200$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed No | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes | 67c | 199.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.99 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 28c | 199.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.98 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…c3c9backed Yes | 77c | 194.13$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.57 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 66c | 190.75$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.9 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…f920backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Yes | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3598…ad60backed Yes | 73c | 149.87$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 17c | 142.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.08 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa59a…e37cbacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…eb16backed Yes | 75c | 135$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Yes | 68c | 130$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Yes | 78c | 128.76$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 36c | 125.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…0de1backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc201…1c9ebacked Yes | 70c | 118.34$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 12c | 110$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 66c | 109.22$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e9…08fabacked Yes | 66c | 107.58$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…0b68backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…49b9backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…980dbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…5cd7backed Yes | 79c | 88.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.5wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…d80ebacked No | 25c | 88.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…d7f2backed Yes | 66c | 81.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8e…c096backed Yes | 72c | 79.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 34c | 77.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked No | 37c | 74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9394…37dabacked Yes | 65c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b94…d5bbbacked Yes | 74c | 67.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…d632backed Yes | 79c | 65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…5e52backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Yes | 78c | 64.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…aac8backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 67c | 63.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5329…bfa9backed Yes | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…070dbacked Yes | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…e7b0backed Yes | 78c | 57.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd029…1909backed Yes | 80c | 57.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 78c | 57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed No | 49c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xff9a…c967backed Yes | 78c | 51.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a6…321abacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…2beabacked Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 72c | 48.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 78c | 45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 30c | 44.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x538b…cc04backed Yes | 78c | 42.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayern Munich win Group C at the FIFA Club World Cup?this page
- Will Auckland City win Group C at the FIFA Club World Cup?No won
- Will Benfica win Group C at the FIFA Club World Cup?Yes won
- Will Boca Juniors win Group C at the FIFA Club World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.