NBA · resolved market
Will the Pacers beat the Knicks 4-1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1c3213e88ad4d82d30e71065ad687fd89ed6b9b12b3ecafb7941930067fa552
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Yes | 38c | 6,303$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.08 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x281d…0c73backed Yes | 23c | 4,477$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.51 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -59%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…c82bbacked Yes | 21c | 3,141$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.93 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…4659backed No | 67c | 3,053$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.14 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 17c | 2,199$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.46 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 64c | 1,774$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.58 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…0770backed Yes | 20c | 1,734$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 75c | 1,701$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.36 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…7697backed Yes | 13c | 1,585$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 70c | 1,572$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.96 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 67c | 1,296$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.42 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 9c | 1,055$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 20c | 772.25$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.71 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9647…c18abacked Yes | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yes | 23c | 705.48$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.26 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…cb74backed Yes | 15c | 660.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 26cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed No | 77c | 562.03$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.59 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 510.58$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.79 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 26c | 442.29$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.7 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 18c | 433.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.24 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.26 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 79c | 368.1$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.81 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 21c | 352.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.07 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Yes | 6c | 351$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 30c | 331.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.69 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 75c | 331.12$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.54 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Yes | 28c | 326.8$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 23c | 295.01$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 228 | 26.3%60 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked Yes | 14c | 235$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…0c56backed Yes | 20c | 215$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 39c | 204.36$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 356 | 60.4%215 W · 141 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.31per pick | 57cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Yes | 10c | 191.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 37c | 147.45$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ca…f4c7backed Yes | 40c | 147.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 79c | 145$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Yes | 33c | 140.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed Yes | 10c | 123.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…7447backed Yes | 24c | 112.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c2…4992backed Yes | 28c | 107.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d11…31fbbacked No | 77c | 105.34$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 10c | 105$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 23c | 103.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…fce9backed Yes | 21c | 100.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 26c | 99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…0d0fbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 22c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 243 | 34.2%83 W · 160 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…4513backed No | 61c | 69.23$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…b20dbacked No | 61c | 52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…8fa5backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Pacers beat the Knicks 4-1?this page
- Will the Knicks beat the Pacers 4-0?No won
- Will the Knicks beat the Pacers 4-1?No won
- Will the Knicks beat the Pacers 4-2?No won
- Will the Knicks beat the Pacers 4-3?No won
- Will the Pacers beat the Knicks 4-0?No won
- Will the Pacers beat the Knicks 4-2?Yes won
- Will the Pacers beat the Knicks 4-3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.