NBA · resolved market
Will the Pacers beat the Knicks 4-2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfe97e2143358b3941991bdf610e8f19a02425ed81b0b62b67ea89412a051210
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8679…4659backed Yes | 32c | 5,625$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,833.42 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…f40abacked No | 78c | 4,914$3,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,845.05 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x281d…0c73backed Yes | 21c | 3,654$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.69 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -59%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x883e…31dfbacked Yes | 19c | 2,683$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.66 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…c82bbacked Yes | 22c | 2,000$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.4 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…0770backed Yes | 22c | 1,616$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.45 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 21c | 1,504$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.17 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 5c | 1,433$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.28 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 79c | 996.81$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.23 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 20c | 900$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked No | 78c | 810.37$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.09 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed Yes | 24c | 754.17$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.17 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Yes | 60c | 728.35$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.34 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 20c | 607$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.15 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 62c | 521.93$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.41 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 28c | 450.24$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.57 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 173 | 26.6%46 W · 127 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…5648backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…686fbacked No | 79c | 250$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…0c56backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Yes | 61c | 200.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 20c | 190.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.98 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 38c | 165$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ca…f4c7backed Yes | 38c | 154.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.83 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8e…5dd9backed Yes | 19c | 130.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a64…118bbacked Yes | 29c | 123.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 53c | 122.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked Yes | 22c | 121.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Yes | 61c | 112$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ef…1212backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c2…4992backed Yes | 22c | 106.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.91 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 54c | 106$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd045…8367backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 21c | 70$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe743…7038backed Yes | 38c | 69.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb393…f733backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 21c | 49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…9d17backed Yes | 39c | 48.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 79c | 40.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 203 | 56.7%115 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…8fa5backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 77c | 13.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Pacers beat the Knicks 4-2?this page
- Will the Knicks beat the Pacers 4-0?No won
- Will the Knicks beat the Pacers 4-1?No won
- Will the Knicks beat the Pacers 4-2?No won
- Will the Knicks beat the Pacers 4-3?No won
- Will the Pacers beat the Knicks 4-0?No won
- Will the Pacers beat the Knicks 4-1?No won
- Will the Pacers beat the Knicks 4-3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.