NBA · resolved market
Will the Pacers beat the Knicks 4-0?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x069ac2bf13d4a36c00d5768f0427769404ee08a5f6e0b64255f54d276a3a9324
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 4c | 14,777$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.13 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 29c | 5,345$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.53 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 5c | 5,243$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.19 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 1c | 5,088$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x281d…0c73backed Yes | 1c | 4,636$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -59%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 6c | 4,454$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.88 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yes | 11c | 4,453$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.55 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…abffbacked Yes | 2c | 4,304$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.39 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 23c | 4,180$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.85 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 4,020$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 1,883$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.36 | 98 | 4.1%4 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 11c | 1,806$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.61 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…4659backed Yes | 29c | 1,692$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.3 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 10c | 1,459$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.93 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed Yes | 4c | 1,276$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,146$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.24 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…cb74backed Yes | 9c | 1,087$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 26cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 4c | 1,050$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 997.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked Yes | 19c | 725$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.75 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 28cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked No | 71c | 440.31$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.17 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 71c | 400.03$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.96 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked No | 73c | 392$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.23 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.31per pick | 57cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Yes | 3c | 336.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…193bbacked No | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Yes | 52c | 250$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.53 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked Yes | 11c | 235$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec01…6592backed Yes | 7c | 201.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…9a72backed No | 72c | 138.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 9c | 123.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 76c | 119.43$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 58c | 111$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.51 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…7447backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd4…fcc9backed Yes | 29c | 93.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 34c | 92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d11…31fbbacked No | 74c | 81.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 228 | 26.3%60 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa2…7062backed Yes | 33c | 59.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Yes | 32c | 50.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a8…d7cbbacked No | 72c | 36.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabcc…28cabacked No | 73c | 36.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…88d9backed No | 70c | 34.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd597…c17ebacked No | 71c | 27.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb332…2b62backed No | 70c | 24.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1222…f51fbacked No | 71c | 20.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…d073backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 68c | 18.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…33f7backed No | 72c | 15.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…39f1backed No | 70c | 15.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Pacers beat the Knicks 4-0?this page
- Will the Knicks beat the Pacers 4-0?No won
- Will the Knicks beat the Pacers 4-1?No won
- Will the Knicks beat the Pacers 4-2?No won
- Will the Knicks beat the Pacers 4-3?No won
- Will the Pacers beat the Knicks 4-1?No won
- Will the Pacers beat the Knicks 4-2?Yes won
- Will the Pacers beat the Knicks 4-3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.