Boxing · resolved market
Will KSI win the match?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b0610ddc1bd5ff96a0c9e28ba9c015f8fbcaf60cc40d29cfeedb18e6c710285
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes | 77c | 1,752$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.1 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 18c | 1,416$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.31 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01fb…ae3ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,200$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f6…d035backed Yes | 41c | 802.04$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca2…1bfebacked Yes | 7c | 530.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0de4…2d29backed Yes | 42c | 503$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x147a…b4f1backed Yes | 5c | 317$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 53c | 291.05$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b4…db29backed Yes | 43c | 279.4$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 73c | 214.8$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.33 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…441bbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…f11cbacked No | 19c | 141.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc280…de71backed No | 19c | 103.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +416%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…57febacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Yes | 80c | 98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 58c | 97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e65…ae80backed Yes | 42c | 90$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7470…b2febacked No | 58c | 74.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes | 40c | 59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e5…bf81backed Yes | 25c | 54.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 63c | 54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 69c | 47.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 72c | 43.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9456…75b7backed Yes | 26c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…0d0fbacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe7…9563backed Yes | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KSI win the match?this page
- Fight ends in Draw/Not Scored?Yes won
- Will Dillon Danis win the match?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.