TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Marcus Thuram score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,966
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,258

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,966 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes24c500$120 inLost-$12010232.4%33 W · 69 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…6a9bbacked No76c389$296 inWon+$93.36837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No76c323.38$244 inWon+$7930754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes48c210$101 inLost-$100.96443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x063a…1499backed Yes25c200$50 inLost-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83e2…ce08backed Yes23c200$46 inLost-$464337.2%16 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid+90.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No77c200$154 inWon+$46.2424742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No52c197.78$103 inWon+$94.939343%40 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c27…1555backed No77c129.63$100 inWon+$29.633444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes23c110.72$26 inLost-$26.019645.8%44 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b2…0d0fbacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No77c54.57$42 inWon+$12.5528543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7600…49e5backed Yes23c50.22$12 inLost-$11.553135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x81e1…7265backed No77c20.7$16 inWon+$4.763531.4%11 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.