TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$198,466
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$235,762

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,466 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8679…4659backed Yes68c45,201$30,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,555.341457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed No17c10,389$1,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,767.647447.3%35 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No22c7,202$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.912941.4%12 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick23cpaid+9.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed No3c5,102$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.043718.9%7 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-63.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes73c2,924$2,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.064411.4%5 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes73c2,508$1,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.993836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Yes75c1,701$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.496630.3%20 W · 46 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Yes78c1,565$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.217448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes72c1,349$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.8415337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ce5…7c13backed Yes69c1,122$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.643100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+259.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No14c881.05$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.466031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes75c880.04$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.9725329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd46c…f641backed No27c693.42$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.971241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5771…fe1abacked Yes65c613.84$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked No12c602.38$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc979…4a98backed No32c600$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed No17c524.41$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.636741.8%28 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Yes64c519.93$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.449756.7%55 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed No24c450$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.641546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf417…308bbacked No23c400$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.21850%9 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe083…4055backed No37c395.62$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes63c360.63$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.244330.2%13 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-6.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No21c348.06$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3610850%54 W · 54 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb99…8c33backed No26c314.25$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.72742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Yes71c311.97$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.473253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No13c301.56$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.752037.4%15 W · 188 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No17c200.01$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3420040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645442.6%23 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49fd…0198backed No27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95bc…9c57backed No38c193.87$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42a7…e89cbacked Yes66c187.77$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed No9c187.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.833023.3%7 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-36.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f67…55bfbacked Yes77c178.56$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.561855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e2…2f3ebacked No11c175.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2753…3cd3backed Yes65c173.94$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked No22c156.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.77248.3%2 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-75.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5147…c45cbacked Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fae…1675backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+89.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf720…4599backed Yes71c141.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.051435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes68c134.13$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.531947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x841f…99dfbacked No36c129.75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2956…890dbacked No9c126.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes61c125.73$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4710751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Yes62c124.56$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.382860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e95…84dbbacked Yes65c122.26$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa823…851fbacked No34c120$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-69.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87cd…6f2abacked No30c119.93$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.59450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes72c110$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.21717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-64.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05f8…baf7backed Yes64c106.19$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b6c…f6aabacked Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b7…b92abacked No38c95.89$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0710…42a2backed Yes62c95.68$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.761090%9 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick66cpaid+36.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x555f…012bbacked Yes74c95.18$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.75520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-73%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8d…d880backed Yes67c90.2$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6313…bc7ebacked No37c85.47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6693…5fcbbacked No37c85.43$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dee…f4e6backed No24c84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf385…4864backed No28c82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.01633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No18c80$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.422834.2%78 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x523b…1d23backed Yes65c75.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb74…e66ebacked No40c70.1$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…55d7backed No32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a44…6d3fbacked Yes66c61.74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e48…1a98backed No33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…9640backed Yes72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.56757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x463f…b2b5backed Yes66c54.05$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb33f…78b0backed No38c53.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de4…b060backed Yes64c53.02$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde26…0972backed Yes71c52.54$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.23683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde2…fa9bbacked Yes64c52.02$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes63c51.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.01650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0079…5e34backed Yes76c51.18$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa12f…212dbacked Yes64c50.94$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc099…8068backed Yes62c45.77$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f49…6a8abacked Yes66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.45475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f71…7e6dbacked No39c43.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa23…2538backed No42c43.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd012…ed08backed No37c42.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae6d…9fd3backed No37c42.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8099…e69cbacked No37c42.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc475…3a39backed No37c42.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d16…c872backed No42c42.05$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed41…61d8backed Yes65c41.62$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd70…4338backed Yes61c40.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99dd…e704backed No38c39.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd668…6c02backed Yes71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…6665backed No36c34.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-30.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01fa…f063backed No39c34.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd36b…0e23backed No42c33.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x353f…afacbacked Yes65c33.38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ff…4032backed Yes65c33.18$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fe…7e9dbacked Yes62c32.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x847a…38f6backed No38c32.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf73…eeadbacked Yes65c31.58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0ac…e96fbacked Yes65c31.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91a2…ff92backed Yes63c30.94$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db6…527abacked Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c86…5ba6backed No38c30.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db7…0be5backed Yes65c29.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9d8…0d98backed Yes68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.411936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.