TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$228,910
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,623

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,910 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbf0c…1146backed Yes8c50,000$4,000 inLost-$4,00030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c6,099$16 inLost-$16.24500%0 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c3,710$11 inLost-$11.3780%0 W · 78 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x675e…11a8backed Yes7c2,774$200 inLost-$200520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3596…6c81backed Yes1c2,399$26 inLost-$26.0960%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed Yes1c2,374$24 inLost-$24.480%0 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes1c2,372$16 inLost-$16.472941.4%12 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick23cpaid+9.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4f30…f73bbacked Yes2c2,020$45 inLost-$45.29812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes1c1,447$16 inLost-$15.961717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-64.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes2c1,250$23 inLost-$22.551947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes3c1,182$41 inLost-$40.765330.2%16 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x567f…6a22backed Yes7c1,000$70 inLost-$69.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes8c875$70 inLost-$706540%26 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes1c701.21$10 inLost-$10.1125329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes2c552.43$13 inLost-$12.5466031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe03d…189abacked Yes7c406.26$28 inLost-$27.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed Yes5c334.66$16 inLost-$15.91130%0 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf720…4599backed Yes10c250$25 inLost-$251435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd40d…3f66backed Yes6c172.41$10 inLost-$10837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a3c…f427backed Yes8c125$10 inLost-$10540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.