Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde6cf2140e96b2f3f057720cebd17e33c6d797c7ca6acc1bd4691270a4519767
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf0c…1146backed Yes | 8c | 76,000$6,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,080 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 2c | 6,973$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.17 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 16c | 2,462$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,892$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed Yes | 11c | 1,398$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,285$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.62 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 11c | 1,092$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.7 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 4c | 705.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 533$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 15c | 400.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 10c | 399.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed Yes | 11c | 398.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce4…cbe0backed Yes | 8c | 336$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…012bbacked Yes | 23c | 260$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -73%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…d672backed Yes | 8c | 246.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 38cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Yes | 13c | 209.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…3b0cbacked Yes | 26c | 201.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed Yes | 26c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9083…b804backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…2ae8backed No | 76c | 176.05$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…ce51backed Yes | 13c | 166.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 14c | 159.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 21c | 157.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…2a22backed No | 79c | 147.83$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaab…4bffbacked Yes | 8c | 147$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 9c | 124.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc97…85d0backed Yes | 26c | 116.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…f427backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba7…9b4dbacked Yes | 12c | 99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…648cbacked Yes | 13c | 89.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…2bbdbacked Yes | 24c | 77.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72bb…d314backed Yes | 22c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x333d…b2b5backed Yes | 24c | 57.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…9640backed Yes | 25c | 47.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce2…efa3backed Yes | 29c | 38.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348b…33fdbacked No | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…d9bfbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2b…5080backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe51…e6fdbacked No | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?this page
- Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?Yes won
- Will Aston Villa finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?No won
- Will Bournemouth finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?No won
- Will Brentford finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?No won
- Will Brighton finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?No won
- Will Chelsea finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?No won
- Will Crystal Palace finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?No won
- Will Everton finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?No won
- Will Fulham finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?No won
- Will Ipswich Town finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?No won
- Will Leicester City finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?No won
- Will Liverpool finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?No won
- Will Manchester United finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?No won
- Will Newcastle finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?No won
- Will Southampton finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?No won
- Will Tottenham finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?No won
- Will West Ham finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?No won
- Will Wolverhampton finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.