TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$308,106
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$235,551

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,106 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbf0c…1146backed Yes19c94,000$17,860 inLost-$17,86030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07e7…a343backed Yes0c28,734$60 inLost-$60.222040%8 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes5c10,923$502 inLost-$501.815337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c8,000$12 inLost-$12500%0 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa93a…0f5cbacked Yes9c5,000$450 inLost-$45080%0 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c2,413$11 inLost-$10.76780%0 W · 78 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7237…9a27backed Yes2c1,221$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc59c…7df8backed Yes21c431$91 inLost-$90.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes4c421.81$15 inLost-$15.49633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick8cpaid+152.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed Yes4c341.17$13 inLost-$13.33130%0 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4825…a33dbacked No79c203$160 inWon+$42.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdec…ee5dbacked Yes19c132$25 inLost-$25.0830%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f1…7d00backed Yes18c129.99$23 inLost-$23.420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b8…b122backed Yes19c119.97$23 inLost-$22.830%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes19c100$19 inLost-$197540%30 W · 45 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc690…a7e4backed No79c67$53 inWon+$14.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x620f…f80bbacked No79c61$48 inWon+$12.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f66…d2eabacked No79c60$47 inWon+$12.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd901…df99backed No79c40$32 inWon+$8.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbeb…d3fbbacked No79c38$30 inWon+$7.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0710…42a2backed No80c20$16 inWon+$41090%9 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick66cpaid+36.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x163f…6f79backed No79c19$15 inWon+$3.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+98.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.