Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96a255ddecf7b728a5d53ffddf0485017aa317645daca3937656a8bd91db2a9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,208,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,187,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,208,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 338 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x259d…94ebbacked No | 59c | 176,556$104,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,859.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f4…d0e7backed Yes | 44c | 93,341$41,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,070.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28b…2873backed No | 47c | 83,539$39,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,275.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc70d…0880backed Yes | 53c | 83,539$44,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,275.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…8009backed Yes | 37c | 83,215$30,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,789.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…070fbacked Yes | 53c | 38,132$20,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,209.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…de5ebacked No | 47c | 38,132$17,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,209.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2da…682bbacked No | 47c | 33,428$15,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,716.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x072e…054cbacked Yes | 53c | 33,428$17,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,716.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe072…125dbacked No | 58c | 31,203$18,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,105.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…0ce9backed Yes | 42c | 31,203$13,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,105.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes | 46c | 30,102$13,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,986.95 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0e…2d95backed Yes | 58c | 29,122$16,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,890.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfab8…a6d6backed No | 42c | 29,122$12,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,890.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2d…2fe3backed No | 60c | 29,100$17,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,640 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1d…f405backed Yes | 40c | 29,100$11,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,640 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 56c | 18,798$10,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,248.36 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 38c | 11,334$4,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,360.06 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 56c | 10,566$5,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,667.35 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed No | 52c | 10,192$5,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,910.67 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…d639backed Yes | 0c | 8,900$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 74c | 7,697$5,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.35 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…b491backed No | 47c | 7,592$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,992 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked Yes | 41c | 7,346$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043.85 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…d154backed No | 44c | 6,335$2,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,571.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…9380backed Yes | 40c | 6,151$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…575abacked No | 67c | 5,207$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…cf93backed No | 43c | 5,168$2,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.84 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 40c | 5,007$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.05 | 88 | 20.5%18 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 51c | 4,985$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.07 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes | 16c | 4,822$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.26 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9841…5189backed Yes | 66c | 4,455$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 28c | 3,897$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.38 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 75c | 3,866$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.28 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddf9…6b5ebacked Yes | 39c | 3,758$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 1c | 3,714$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed No | 42c | 3,435$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.89 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…106abacked Yes | 43c | 2,774$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.16 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…ff69backed Yes | 56c | 2,623$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf577…8f24backed No | 54c | 2,374$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f6…4f56backed No | 68c | 2,371$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.11 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd570…8a06backed Yes | 12c | 2,353$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e7…fc15backed Yes | 16c | 2,300$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.86 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +951.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 21c | 2,089$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.82 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c9…bdb6backed Yes | 47c | 2,064$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb6…93f6backed Yes | 51c | 2,001$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…5455backed No | 56c | 1,964$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 47c | 1,946$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.62 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked No | 22c | 1,937$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.12 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 27c | 1,907$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.98 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecab…6a63backed Yes | 8c | 1,877$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…4dc4backed Yes | 47c | 1,834$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 55c | 1,809$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.15 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 29c | 1,762$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.19 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e4…b676backed No | 55c | 1,750$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.36 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb32d…d135backed Yes | 41c | 1,705$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…ec66backed Yes | 29c | 1,603$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1188…bb30backed Yes | 58c | 1,598$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…2340backed No | 63c | 1,588$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed Yes | 30c | 1,577$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.04 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…f0dcbacked No | 53c | 1,544$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 33c | 1,505$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.86 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…d3f8backed No | 55c | 1,455$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.55 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…7d2bbacked Yes | 52c | 1,448$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb05f…2faabacked Yes | 45c | 1,426$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aea…e962backed Yes | 40c | 1,421$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…7562backed No | 53c | 1,414$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…5d7cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…a89fbacked Yes | 71c | 1,300$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…58dbbacked Yes | 43c | 1,297$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.75 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 55c | 1,285$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.85 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…828bbacked No | 60c | 1,264$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…5f67backed No | 25c | 1,240$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.51 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ee…e3d2backed No | 60c | 1,226$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 52c | 1,214$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.28 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac8…96d2backed No | 40c | 1,200$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -69%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes | 71c | 1,185$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.06 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 43c | 1,174$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.04 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 1,156$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c96…f26abacked No | 54c | 1,095$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b5…590cbacked No | 27c | 1,067$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 25cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d6…a48cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,037$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 32c | 1,013$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.17 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 8c | 1,004$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.32 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed No | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…e844backed No | 27c | 1,000$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 9c | 999.47$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81fa…41c9backed No | 55c | 952.42$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.57 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2b…6752backed Yes | 6c | 947.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd61d…5446backed Yes | 48c | 946.96$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…f511backed Yes | 14c | 944.77$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…950fbacked No | 42c | 923.48$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e4…e635backed Yes | 39c | 919$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…9b16backed No | 49c | 878$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.78 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5098…f59ebacked Yes | 58c | 858.91$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa8…f8a0backed Yes | 47c | 842$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +25%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 59c | 834.65$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.52 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd8…0e43backed Yes | 47c | 796$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6000…8124backed No | 54c | 774$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfd…2121backed No | 60c | 740$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.