Chess · resolved market
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3496ac97b1c025eb22bc859e390feeacc8c442b7110fc32c9e0d8f0f396f0af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $237,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Yes | 63c | 21,000$13,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,716.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fa…a4e1backed Yes | 53c | 19,977$10,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,389.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x964e…a040backed No | 47c | 19,977$9,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,389.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed Yes | 56c | 12,431$6,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,461.46 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 50c | 11,664$5,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,831.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked No | 41c | 9,572$3,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,924.59 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +148.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…8b01backed Yes | 77c | 3,899$3,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes | 77c | 3,000$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…4673backed No | 42c | 2,842$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 48c | 2,841$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.3 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 2,656$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 175 | 7.4%13 W · 162 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked No | 28c | 2,615$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.26 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes | 59c | 2,554$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206a…29eebacked Yes | 71c | 2,544$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 51c | 2,274$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.24 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 56c | 2,007$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 56c | 1,811$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.56 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed Yes | 43c | 1,549$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.78 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -42%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…4275backed Yes | 59c | 1,530$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked No | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.85 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed Yes | 45c | 1,445$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705f…3fcfbacked Yes | 43c | 1,250$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…7b30backed No | 5c | 1,125$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 42c | 1,031$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.59 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Yes | 54c | 854.46$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Yes | 47c | 748$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.44 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 56c | 714.28$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +285.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d6…f810backed No | 49c | 685.38$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2fa6backed Yes | 54c | 574$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.04 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 42c | 512.95$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.79 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed No | 43c | 500$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -79%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9004…6088backed No | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b6…007dbacked Yes | 42c | 471.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed No | 46c | 445$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8abb…dbbebacked Yes | 42c | 430.55$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Yes | 56c | 394.15$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Yes | 59c | 392$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…f9e4backed Yes | 45c | 347.85$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5f…cbbfbacked Yes | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860b…a80fbacked Yes | 40c | 294.83$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116f…9210backed No | 40c | 264.81$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…644bbacked Yes | 57c | 250$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3795…4c73backed No | 5c | 229.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…8b88backed No | 44c | 221.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…7a7dbacked Yes | 55c | 220$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +277.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 45c | 213.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -10.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Yes | 58c | 211.75$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.94 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 60c | 211$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 63c | 202.56$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.56 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked No | 32c | 185.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f5…dab4backed Yes | 38c | 184.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb59f…cd73backed Yes | 38c | 171.05$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0d…3d14backed Yes | 58c | 170$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…baa2backed Yes | 48c | 169.46$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed No | 45c | 163.49$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | -12.3wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Yes | 50c | 162.43$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 50c | 161.17$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed65…b1b2backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -66%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c18…dc3cbacked No | 39c | 155.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 24c | 152$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…7d99backed No | 60c | 140.16$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2543…4418backed Yes | 58c | 138.95$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1481…9e66backed Yes | 38c | 134.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983f…fd5ebacked No | 55c | 130$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe7…78f7backed No | 44c | 123.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d9bfbacked Yes | 48c | 120.3$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x509b…429dbacked Yes | 59c | 119.51$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…55bfbacked Yes | 36c | 118.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.36 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 45c | 115.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c26…9a9bbacked Yes | 46c | 113.32$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…685fbacked Yes | 42c | 105.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…a391backed No | 29c | 101.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe520…28b0backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 67 | 13.4%9 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…a9bebacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed Yes | 39c | 97.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c6…bcf8backed Yes | 36c | 94.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…c8e4backed Yes | 39c | 93.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed Yes | 38c | 92.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.21 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42d7…d5ddbacked Yes | 58c | 91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…3f3cbacked Yes | 36c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 37c | 83.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…85cabacked Yes | 38c | 73.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac57…f164backed Yes | 45c | 68.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…a011backed Yes | 73c | 67.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…4942backed Yes | 68c | 56.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…01e0backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d2…8cb8backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67db…21adbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe886…2f47backed No | 43c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f29…3d27backed Yes | 38c | 47.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 41c | 44.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?this page
- Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?No won
- Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?No won
- Will Dommaraju Gukesh win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?No won
- Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?No won
- Will Hans Moke Niemann win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?No won
- Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?No won
- Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?No won
- Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?No won
- Will Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?No won
- Will Vidit Santosh Gujrathi win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?No won
- Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?No won
- Will another player win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.