Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebe0a2e0cd1ef818466b907d590472f96efeef0573a1bd96e13de92e1e92f488
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $348,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $274,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 6c | 15,609$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.92 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7a…5015backed Yes | 6c | 13,829$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.09 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +130.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda45…d95bbacked Yes | 10c | 12,317$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf6…23b2backed Yes | 34c | 9,477$3,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,237.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 14c | 9,103$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.83 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad4…0bacbacked Yes | 7c | 8,803$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 12c | 8,125$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.13 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed No | 68c | 7,394$5,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.76 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 3c | 7,218$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.1 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf0…637cbacked Yes | 6c | 7,089$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 9c | 6,838$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.81 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 12c | 5,520$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.73 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee64…c04ebacked Yes | 16c | 5,456$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 78c | 4,681$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.17 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…bc8fbacked Yes | 27c | 4,078$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed No | 73c | 3,673$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.37 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc813…44dabacked Yes | 4c | 3,398$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8663…35e7backed Yes | 11c | 3,187$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f7…9769backed Yes | 12c | 3,181$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.64 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 5c | 3,153$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.2 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 9c | 3,065$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.22 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0607…8bc8backed Yes | 9c | 3,002$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.2 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 10c | 2,981$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.31 | 148 | 19.6%29 W · 119 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c53…44f2backed Yes | 5c | 2,834$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.76 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f56…0ff4backed Yes | 5c | 2,642$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde3…719abacked Yes | 8c | 2,428$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 3c | 2,294$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.32 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 1c | 2,118$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…b009backed Yes | 1c | 2,109$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0875…646bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,094$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…4814backed Yes | 19c | 2,049$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…7317backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…d639backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…8f9ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,922$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 76c | 1,840$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.29 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13be…80fbbacked Yes | 16c | 1,640$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…08ffbacked Yes | 4c | 1,618$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.53 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 76c | 1,586$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.19 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 78c | 1,550$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.55 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed Yes | 20c | 1,523$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 17c | 1,500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…9b16backed Yes | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 6c | 1,418$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.92 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 1c | 1,370$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x337f…7d5fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,305$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,268$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.12 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd87b…cc95backed Yes | 5c | 1,228$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked Yes | 17c | 1,123$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.92 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a62…0ce7backed Yes | 4c | 1,115$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…9236backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…5761backed Yes | 5c | 1,102$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked Yes | 8c | 1,084$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9e…3723backed Yes | 17c | 1,057$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf626…8a12backed Yes | 5c | 1,030$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…a1fabacked Yes | 5c | 1,006$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…fb35backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -89.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfc…1ab3backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…4660backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb843…1b3fbacked No | 73c | 982.7$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 15c | 977.97$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.14 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c4…97c9backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1156…0febbacked Yes | 16c | 900.63$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 13c | 890.8$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.86 | 88 | 20.5%18 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x205c…f554backed Yes | 4c | 886.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 19c | 850.35$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e0…8412backed Yes | 33c | 847.02$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.81 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 74c | 798.26$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 780.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d48…6237backed Yes | 13c | 780$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb449…cc55backed Yes | 25c | 768$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 4c | 737.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd89b…7945backed Yes | 32c | 711.38$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.13 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…ab88backed Yes | 6c | 695.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…9c51backed Yes | 10c | 689.56$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.96 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…e7f7backed Yes | 5c | 687.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22d…4770backed Yes | 3c | 671.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac11…9d3abacked Yes | 5c | 660$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd94…b271backed Yes | 14c | 632$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc01c…d7f5backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…4e67backed No | 78c | 617.39$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.79 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 17c | 580$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed Yes | 13c | 579.54$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…074cbacked Yes | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 12c | 561.66$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 240 | 35.4%85 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…b088backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…f3e1backed Yes | 4c | 554.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…c83dbacked Yes | 6c | 542.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 13c | 528.07$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.11 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e2…9495backed Yes | 15c | 507.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63af…3de0backed Yes | 17c | 503.1$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.73 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…9aeabacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 15c | 499.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 79c | 485.98$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.68 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x247f…ff45backed Yes | 4c | 471.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62c…f445backed Yes | 18c | 441.54$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.54 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.